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Valley of Depth

Valley of Depth

Payload | Ignition | Tectonic

Valley of Depth is a podcast about the technologies that matter — and the people building them. Brought to you by Arkaea Media, the team behind Payload (space), Ignition (nuclear energy), and Tectonic (defense tech), this show goes beyond headlines and hype. We talk to founders, investors, government officials, and military leaders shaping the future of national security and deep tech. From breakthrough science to strategic policy, we dive into the high-stakes decisions behind the world’s hardest technologies.
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Top 10 Valley of Depth Episodes

Goodpods has curated a list of the 10 best Valley of Depth episodes, ranked by the number of listens and likes each episode have garnered from our listeners. If you are listening to Valley of Depth for the first time, there's no better place to start than with one of these standout episodes. If you are a fan of the show, vote for your favorite Valley of Depth episode by adding your comments to the episode page.

Our guest this week, Tim Kienberger, has been at the forefront of the industry's evolution from large-scale satellite buses to the small satellite revolution. As the current CEO of LeoStella, a joint venture between Thales Alenia Space and BlackSky, he is helping the company redefine small satellite manufacturing.

In today's episode, Tim reveals insights into the production of small satellites and the unique challenges of managing a joint venture. In addition, we discuss:

  • LeoStella’s origin story
  • Cislunar spacecraft needs
  • The impact of Starship on small satellites
  • Scaling challenges of small sat startups

And much more...

• Chapters •

00:00 - Introduction

00:22 - Tim's career overview

02:40 - Thales/Blacksky JV

06:56 - Core offerings and customer makeup

09:01 - Current demand

12:19 - Product roadmap

14:03 - Capability needs from LEO to cislunar

17:53 - Government customers

19:50 - Balancing customization vs standardization

23:18 - Production hurdles

26:16 - Competitive landscape

27:36 - Challenges for new startups

31:32 - Impact of Starship on the small sat market

40:18 - Long-term funding needs

42:19 - What would Tim be doing if he wasn't in the space industry

• Show notes •

LeoStella's website — https://leostella.com/

LeoStella's socials — https://twitter.com/LeoStellaLLC

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 15,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world. Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers.

Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing three media properties across multiple platforms: 1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern (https://newsletter.payloadspace.com/) 2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com) 3) Polaris, our weekly policy publication, hits inboxes Tuesday (https://polaris.payloadspace.com/) 4) Parallax, our weekly space science briefing, hits inboxes Thursday (https://parallax.payloadspace.com/)

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Valley of Depth - Global Connectivity, with Chris Taylor (Aalyria)
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05/07/24 • 54 min

This week’s Pathfinder features Chris Taylor, CEO and founder of Aalyria, a Google spinout that specializes in advanced connectivity solutions. The company is developing what could be game changing free-space optics hardware and network orchestration software to meaningfully change communication speed and efficiency across air, space, land, and sea. It’s core products include:

  • Tightbeam: An advanced free-space optics technology which uses coherent light (laser technology) to transmit data at high speeds over long distances without physical connections like cables.
  • Spacetime: A SaaS platform that serves as a network management system that can control and direct data flows across different types of infrastructure, including satellites, ground stations, and other communication devices, effectively making each component a node in a larger network (think: traffic controller for communications).

In this episode, we dissect:

  • Free space optics 101
  • Aalyria’s origins as a Google spinout
  • Deep dive on core technologies and challenges
  • Strategic commercial applications

• Chapters •

00:00 Intro

00:32 Chris's path to Aalyria

02:15 What is Aalyria building?

04:52 How do different space assets communicate with each other today?

05:59 What is optical communication?

07:58 The coherent light free space optics (FSO) program

10:50 Why did Google sell their optical comms tech?

12:56 Why is this so important?

15:15 Benefits of Tightbeam over existing free space optics, coherent vs non-coherent space optics

21:22 Customer profiles

25:41 Real-world use case

28:02 Use case in autonomous fleet navigation

29:44 Fleet of autonomous taxis

30:53 Size of Aalyria's addressable market

35:34 Commercialization prospects

38:32 Work with DIU (Defense Innovation Unit)

40:01 Competitors

42:25 Limits of technology

44:22 Funding

47:00 10-year vision

50:34 What does Chris do for fun?

• Show notes •

Aalyria’s website — https://www.aalyria.com/

Aalyria’s socials — https://twitter.com/AalyriaTech

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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Valley of Depth - The Blue Ghost, with Ray Allensworth (Firefly)
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06/11/24 • 47 min

This week on Pathfinder, we're joined by Ray Allensworth, Spacecraft Program Director at Firefly Aerospace. Ray, who has a previous background with major aerospace names like Raytheon and Northrop, helps lead Blue Ghost, Firefly’s lunar lander program designed to deliver scientific and commercial payloads to the surface of the Moon. The company is currently on track to be the next commercial lunar lander on the Moon with its planned launch in November aiming for the elusive 100% flawless mission which has not yet been achieved by any commercial entity.

Our conversation delves into the comprehensive capabilities of Firefly as an end-to-end space transportation company, the intricacies of the Blue Ghost program, and the significance of lunar exploration. We also explore:

  • The origins and objectives of Blue Ghost
  • Technical milestones and challenges
  • The economic and strategic importance of lunar landers
  • The role of Firefly in the broader context of NASA's Artemis program
  • Future missions and the commercial opportunity on the moon

And much more...

• Chapters •

00:00 Intro

00:37 Firefly overview

01:27 Blue Ghost

03:02 How Ray got to Firefly and her background

04:22 Building a space company in Texas

05:18 What is the importance of returning to the moon?

07:01 National security interest in the Moon

08:20 Viability of developing products for the Moon

09:50 Current moon landing customers and where Ray sees growth

11:04 Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) Program

12:26 Most promising commercial opportunity on the Moon

14:43 Why is it still so hard to land on the Moon?

16:58 How is the Blue Ghost Architecture different from other lunar landers?

19:54 Technical milestones, team, and launch for Blue Ghost

21:01 Most important challenges to overcome for Mission 1

23:04 Powering beyond solar

23:54 Testing for the lunar environment

28:29 What risks keep Ray up at night?

29:52 Customer goals for Mission 1

31:20 The international market

35:44 Commercial landing on the dark side of the Moon

36:53 What's next after CLPS?

37:47 Blue Ghost profitability

39:58 Firefly's role in Artemis program

41:37 Is sample return in the future plan?

42:03 Press bomb prep

43:17 Is the Moon your calling?

44:54 What would you send to the Moon?

46:22 Ray's favorite place to eat in Texas

• Show notes •

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Firefly’s Blue Ghost website — https://fireflyspace.com/blue-ghost/

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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The clock is ticking on Voyager’s aspirations in LEO.

In 2021, the Denver-based space exploration company announced its goal to launch a commercial space station by 2028, three years ahead of the ISS retirement. Clay Mowry, the chief revenue officer of Voyager Space and one of the driving forces behind that vision, joins Pathfinder this week to dive into the company’s plans to build infrastructure in Earth orbit.

The LEO significance: With the ISS bowing out, LEO-based ventures like Voyager’s Starlab are poised to fill a gap in LEO, though they aren’t the only ones chasing that goal. Other companies like Axiom, Sierra Space, and Northrop are working in partnership with NASA to capture the billions of dollars spent on the ISS every year.

The focus of Starlab, which is partially funded by a $160M space act agreement with NASA, will be on research applications, rather than tourism. The station is designed to fit on a single launch, outfitted on the ground with all the research equipment needed for its customers. It’s expected to be able to hold four people and will be used to conduct scientific research.

The company recently announced a collaboration with Airbus Defense and Space. The international joint venture will be based out of the US, but features a European arm focused on serving the European Space Agency (ESA) and its member space agencies.

A sneak peak...

Before taking up the role of CRO in January 2022, Mowry made instrumental contributions at Blue Origin and oversaw operations at Arianespace, Inc. Beyond Voyager, Mowry's influence extends to the International Astronautical Federation, an international non-governmental organization (NGO) that was founded in 1951 to promote the peaceful use of space. In addition to Voyager’s future, we chat:

  • Clay’s time at Arianespace and Blue Origin
  • Why Starlab is critical to our future in space
  • The partnership with Airbus
  • Cultural changes in the space industry
  • The IAF and its mission
  • And much more...

This episode is brought to you by SpiderOak, a US-based software company that builds space cybersecurity products and solutions for civilian, military, and commercial space operations. Learn more at https://spideroak.com/

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro & SpiderOak Ad

02:19 - Clay's background and interest in space

07:20 - From Arianespace to Blue Origin

11:27 - The first New Shepard Auction

14:08 - Role as CRO at Voyager

16:08 - Is Voyager a holding company?

16:48 - Brief background on Dylan Taylor

18:45 - Who convinced Clay to join Voyager?

20:08 - What is Starlab?

28:20 - Partnership with Airbus

31:21 - SpiderOak Ad

32:09 - The case for private space stations

40:19 - How heavy launch will change mass and design constraints for the industry

43:06 - Competitive landscape

46:06 - What is the IAF?

49:33 - Biggest cultural changes in space

51:17 - When do you think New Glenn will fly?

• Show notes •

Voyager's website — https://voyagerspace.com/

Clay's socials — https://twitter.com/claymowry

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 15,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world. Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers.

Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing three media properties across multiple platforms: 1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern (https://newsletter.payloadspace.com/) 2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com) 3) Polaris, our weekly policy publication, hits inboxes Tuesday (https://polaris.payloadspace.com/) 4) Parallax, our weekly space science briefing, hits inboxes Thursday (https://parallax.payloadspace.com/)

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Valley of Depth - Mining Asteroids, with Matt Gialich (AstroForge)
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07/11/23 • 54 min

Today’s Pathfinder episode features AstroForge cofounder and CEO Matt Gialich. The CA-based startup is developing technology to mine asteroids for platinum group metals. The company plans to use an uncrewed spacecraft to extract and refine the metals directly on the asteroid before returning to Earth with a sellable metal.

Why platinum? The platinum group metals have unique physical and chemical properties that make them critical to everything from catalytic converters to electronics. According to Gialich, the US has a dwindling supply of platinum group ore reserves, and Russia and China control a significant supply of global stocks. But there’s hope in the heavens: a single one-kilometer-diameter M-type (primarily composed of metallic iron and nickel) asteroid could contain more platinum than has been mined in the history of humanity, Gialich said.

So far...AstroForge launched a refinery demo this spring and plans to launch a prospecting mission in October where they will physically go to an asteroid to map and monitor the surface. Future missions will include excavation and finally mining.

A sneak peek...Mo and Matt discuss:

  • The history of landing on asteroids
  • The basics of asteroid mining
  • The economics of mining off-planet
  • Legal and regulatory considerations

And much more...

This episode is brought to you by SpiderOak, a US-based software company that builds space cybersecurity products and solutions for civilian, military, and commercial space operations. Learn more at https://spideroak.com/

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro and SpiderOak ad

02:07 - The early days of AstroForge

02:51 - Why asteroid mining today?

06:58 - Cofounder backgrounds

08:14 - Asteroid mining 101

11:48 - Platinum group metals

13:10 - Historical asteroid missions

17:23 - Refining materials on an asteroid

20:51 - Upcoming mission

22:33 - How unique is AstroForge's technology?

24:48 - Mission risks

27:32 - SpiderOak ad break

28:19 - Economics of asteroid mining

33:59 - AstroForge's first mission

34:31 - Outlook for the next few missions

34:55 - Scaling plans after a successful first mission

37:22 - Capital intensity of the venture

39:42 - Team construction

41:12 - Competition

42:13 - Legal & regulatory considerations of mining

46:30 - 10-year vision

49:28 - Future technologies for easier asteroid mining

51:27 - Favorite space companies

• Show notes •

AstroForge's website — https://www.astroforge.io/

AstroForge's socials — https://twitter.com/astroforge

Matt's socials — https://twitter.com/MattGialich

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 15,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world. Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers.

Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing three media properties across multiple platforms: 1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern (https://newsletter.payloadspace.com/) 2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com) 3) Polaris, our weekly policy publication, hits inboxes Tuesday (https://polaris.payloadspace.com/) 4) Parallax, our weekly space science briefing, hits inboxes Thursday (https://parallax.payloadspace.com/)

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In the second episode of our special three-part Pathfinder series on lunar architecture—brought to you by our partners at Lockheed Martin—we’re zooming in on the technologies and design principles that will help establish a sustainable, long-term presence on the Moon and pave the way for future missions to Mars. Joining us are Christie Iacomini, who manages Lockheed Martin’s lunar infrastructure technology portfolio, and Tim Cichan, the company’s space exploration architect.

Christie and Tim walk us through the building blocks of lunar infrastructure, from robust power systems and reliable communications networks to habitats and mobility solutions. They also highlight the importance of resource utilization, the evolving role of public-private partnerships, and the collaborative efforts needed to turn ambitious concepts into practical solutions.

We discuss:

  • The role of vertical solar arrays, nuclear fission systems, and power grids in supporting lunar operations
  • Communications challenges and the roadmap for building an interoperable lunar network
  • Innovative habitats and rovers designed to withstand extreme lunar conditions
  • Strategies for in-situ resource utilization, including extracting water ice and other key materials
  • The significance of international collaboration and commercial engagement in achieving lasting lunar sustainability

And much, much more...

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro

03:45 - What is a space architect?

04:42 - Lockheed's goal for Mars

08:23 - Technological advancements that have made a long-term Moon mission possible

09:52 - What does a successful Lunar mission look like?

11:46 - Power systems for Lunar and Mars missions and state of development cycles

18:15 - Tech in Artemis II and III

20:04 - Challenges for creating a seamless communications network for the Moon

22:34 - Effect of modern tech in space

27:10 - Lunar mobility capabilities

30:44 - Habitation

33:14 - Inflatable vs modular habitats

34:20 - Lunar resource utilization

36:42 - How to create seamless integration between mission-critical tech

41:55 - Planned contingencies

43:49 - Seemingly futuristic technology

45:54 - Getting around on the Moon

47:48 - How Lockheed works with other companies building Lunar architecture

49:01 - Technical milestones

50:58 - What will it take to land on the Moon on time?

52:07 - Inspirations for your work

• Show notes •

Lockheed Martin’s website — https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/capabilities/space/human-space-exploration/water-based-lunar-architecture/lockheed-martins-lunar-architecture-novella-white-paper.html

Lockheed Martin Space’ socials — https://twitter.com/LMSpace

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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This week on Pathfinder, we explore the world of satellite deployment and launch services with Robert Sproles, CEO of Exolaunch. Exolaunch is a leader in satellite integration, offering launch services and deployment solutions for commercial and government clients.

We explore how Exolaunch has built a cashflow-positive business with a remarkable track record of reliability, all without external funding. In addition, we discuss:

  • Exolaunch's founding story and its bootstrapped growth from a university project in Berlin to a $100M revenue company
  • How Exolaunch navigates partnerships with major launch providers like SpaceX, Rocket Lab, and Ariane
  • Robert’s insights on the demand for satellite launches and the need for diversity in orbital access
  • Exolaunch's plans for the future, including scaling to support larger satellites and expanding their U.S. operations
  • The broader ecosystem of launch services and how larger rockets like Starship and New Glenn fit into the market

And much more...

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro

00:30 - Robert's background

08:13 - What is Exolaunch and the products offered?

10:02 - Founding of Exolaunch and building a company without the need for raising capital

14:09 - Bootstrap from day one and future funding plans

16:35 - From Arkansas to Germany

19:02 - Robert transitioning to CEO

21:16 - Current market for rideshare, deployment, and mission management

23:45 - What is different about Exolaunch?

25:48 - Are more launch companies good for Exolaunch and is SpaceX a monopoly?

27:02 - Are transporter missions anti-competitive to other launch companies?

30:13 - Future satellite trends

31:42 - How larger launch vehicles affect Exolaunch

33:33 - Is the launch market supplier demand constrained?

35:35 - How do non-American operators feel about using American launch providers?

37:39 - What does reliability look like?

40:08 - Exolaunch's agility

43:34 - Missions that pushed the boundaries of Exolaunch's capabilities

45:36 - Exolaunch headcount and future plans

46:32 - Growth areas

47:37 - 10+ year outlook

49:07 - What does Robert do outside of Exolaunch?

52:26 - Places to eat in Little Rock, Arkansas

• Show notes •

Exolaunch’s website — https://exolaunch.com/

Freeform’s socials — https://twitter.com/Exolaunch

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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Valley of Depth - The State of Launch & OSAM (Payload Editorial)
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04/02/24 • 41 min

Pathfinder is shaking things up for the next two weeks with a special pod series on the State of the Space Industry. In each episode, you’ll hear from two members of Payload’s editorial staff on key trends, exclusive interviews, and insights shaping the industry.

This week? Launch & OSAM, featuring Payload’s Managing Editor Jacqueline Feldscher and Senior Space Reporter Tim Fernholz. Highlights from the discussion include:

Launch

  • Launch cadence + increasing demand
  • Role of launch providers and competition
  • Challenges including space debris and regulation
  • Advancements in reusability

OSAM

  • The OSAM chicken-and-egg problem
  • The role of government partnerships and regulations
  • Key technologies required for OSAM
  • Recent developments and upcoming missions, including Northrop Grumman's MRV mission, Astroscale's ADRAS-J mission, and SpaceX's Starship refueling demonstrations

And much more...

This episode is brought to you by the Italian Trade Agency (ITA). Be sure to check out the Italian Pavilion in South Hall (Booth 603) during Space Symposium!

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro & ITA Ad

01:35 - The state of launch in 2023

04:14 - Peter Beck & Rocket Lab

06:31 - Tory Bruno & ULA

11:43 - Tim Ellis & Relativity Space

14:09 - Make or break in launch

15:27 - Government’s perspective on launch outside SpaceX

17:46 - What Jacqueline is excited for in 2024

19:07 - Blue Origin & ULA

21:41 - Tim Fernholz!

22:28 - OSAM. What is it and what companies fall underneath the OSAM umbrella?

24:22 - Core capabilities

25:19 - OSAM market in 2023

25:59 - Challenges of building

27:10 - Gaps in technology

29:53 - Should startups be investing in OSAM technology?

32:21 - How integral is the government in developing OSAM?

34:13 - Who is setting standards?

35:42 - OSAM 1

37:56 - What Tim is excited for in 2024

• Show notes •

Jacqueline’s socials — https://twitter.com/jacqfeldscher

Tim’s socials — https://twitter.com/TimFernholz

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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Our guest this week is Malory McLemore, the co-founder and CEO of Stell, an LA-based startup that is building workflow software to serve as the future data layer for hardware and industrials. Their platform enables complex, multi-company hardware development efforts to track engineering and compliance documentation, replacing traditional methods like Excel sheets and PDFs.

Malory shares her journey from being an aerospace engineer dealing with subpar software tooling to founding Stell. In addition, we discuss:

  • Stell’s origin story and fundraising plans
  • Differentiating engineering tools
  • Apollo-era systems engineering
  • The next generation of post-MBA graduates

And much more...

• Chapters •

00:00 - Intro

00:48 - What is Stell?

01:44 - Malory's career arc in the space industry

05:19 - Why are Harvard students becoming more interested in space?

06:37 - Malory's previous jobs that led her to Stell today

07:49 - How could aircraft like Boeing's latest be improved?

10:53 - How have companies operated in the past and why should they work with Stell?

12:38 - Current offerings and roadmap

14:19 - Stell's business model

14:55 - What does the ideal Stell customer look like?

15:50 - Stell's selling point

16:45 - How do you quantify money savings to a client

18:33 - Government clients

20:39 - How did Stella build the team

22:36 - Plans for expanding beyond aerospace

23:28 - How do you differentiate among other engineering management tools?

26:51 - Do you think that this looks from other companies, but we’re headed to start to look similar?

29:45 - Current fundraising plans

30:06 - Grand vision to investors

31:41 - What kicked off the growth of hard tech startups?

33:23 - What would Malory be working on if it weren't for Stell?

33:56 - Apollo-era management

37:26 - What does the startup community look like in Huntsville?

38:32 - Was building in LA the best decision you've made?

Stell's website — https://www.stell-engineering.com/

Stell's socials — https://twitter.com/stell_space

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 15,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing three media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern (https://newsletter.payloadspace.com/)

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Parallax, our weekly space science briefing, hits inboxes Thursday (https://parallax.payloadspace.com/)

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This week on Pathfinder, we’re joined by Jack Kuhr, Research Director at Payload, for a deep dive into one of the most closely watched companies in the space industry—SpaceX. We break down Payload’s latest analysis of SpaceX’s revenue, exploring how the company’s launch business and Starlink network are shaping its financial trajectory.

With our estimate of SpaceX’s 2024 revenue at $13.1 billion, this episode unpacks the numbers, key growth drivers, and what’s next. We also discuss:

  • How Payload builds its SpaceX revenue model and refines estimates year after year
  • The breakdown of SpaceX’s revenue across launch, Starlink, and other government contracts
  • The rapid growth of Starlink—now at 4.6 million customers—and where the business is headed
  • The future of Starship and its impact on Falcon 9, launch pricing, and industry competition
  • Potential financial winners and losers when Starship becomes fully operational
  • Speculative questions on SpaceX’s future, from a possible IPO to whether it can become the first trillion-dollar space company

And more...

• Chapters •

00:00 Intro

01:02 Jack's background

02:16 Constructing the SpaceX revenue estimates

06:17 How close our predictions were

08:01 Numbers rundown

10:02 SpaceX's percentage of global launch

10:45 SpaceX's price per launch

12:26 Does SpaceX need Starling to stay profitable?

13:55 When will Starship launch paying customers?

15:44 Starlink's next-gen satellites

18:19 Starlink's sub growth

20:38 Evolution of Starlink's pricing power

22:51 Where does SpaceX see the most growth?

25:12 Starlink's scalability and will it ever reach 50+ million customers?

29:03 SpaceX's other revenue generator

31:10 Will Starship make Falcon 9 obsolete?

32:37 Who loses when Starship becomes fully operational?

34:05 Will demand make up for the loss of cost per kilogram?

36:33 If SpaceX was a public company, how would investors react to these revenue figures?

39:19 Which SpaceX revenue stream could 10x?

41:03 Will SpaceX be the first trillion-dollar space company?

• Show notes •

Estimating SpaceX’s 2024 Revenue — https://payloadspace.com/estimating-spacexs-2024-revenue/

Jack’s socials — https://x.com/JackKuhr

Mo's socials — https://twitter.com/itsmoislam

Payload’s socials — https://twitter.com/payloadspace / https://www.linkedin.com/company/payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Watch: https://www.youtube.com/@payloadspace

Pathfinder archive — Listen: https://pod.payloadspace.com/episodes

• About us •

Pathfinder is brought to you by Payload, a modern space media brand built from the ground up for a new age of space exploration and commercialization. We deliver need-to-know news and insights daily to 19,000+ commercial, civil, and military space leaders. Payload is read by decision-makers at every leading new space company, along with c-suite leaders at all of the aerospace & defense primes. We’re also read on Capitol Hill, in the Pentagon, and at space agencies around the world.

Payload began as a weekly email sent to a few friends and coworkers. Today, we’re a team distributed across four time zones and two continents, publishing five media properties across multiple platforms:

1) Payload, our flagship daily newsletter, sends M-F @ 9am Eastern

2) Pathfinder publishes weekly on Tuesday mornings (pod.payloadspace.com)

3) Polaris, our weekly policy briefing, publishes weekly on Tuesdays

4) Payload Research, our weekly research and analysis piece, comes out on Wednesdays

You can sign up for all of our publications here: https://payloadspace.com/subscribe/

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