Stansberry Investor Hour

This week, Extreme Value Editor Dan Ferris discusses unique thought patterns that can help you become an above-average investor. He also unpacks what’s next at Apple after a key departure and Tesla’s rush to a record quarter. Our guest, Chris Pavese of Broyhill Asset Management chats about a disruption in the car dealership industry he’s poised to pounce on.

In this week’s episode, Extreme Value Editor Dan Ferris shares a warning for short-term traders, and discusses the only time to think about bigger bets in the stock market. We also chat about a big drop by internet giants as the government prepares a possible antitrust probe of Google and Facebook. Our special guest, Ken Lewis discusses how investors can safely trade gold and silver on the internet.

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by investor and bestselling author Larry McDonald. Larry founded The Bear Traps Report, an investment newsletter that looks at global political and systemic risks when making actionable trades. He is also a frequent contributor on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business News.

Larry kicks off the show by sharing his history as a trader at Lehman Brothers and how certain parts of today's market mirror the 2008 crash. He notes that commodities are extremely cheap while semiconductors just hit an all-time high. Larry predicts that capital will migrate back toward real assets. He also discusses what a second Donald Trump presidential term would mean for the bond market, the huge risk with inflation, and a possible bright spot for the housing market as Baby Boomers age. (1:01)

Next, Larry breaks down his trading strategy involving capitulation. He brings up the extreme 20% discount in copper today and makes a five-year bull case for natural gas. This leads to a conversation about the current hot stocks in artificial intelligence ("AI"). Larry says that the AI mania has gotten so bad, chief financial officers at tech companies have to invest in AI even if they don't want to, for fear of losing their jobs. He believes we're in the early stages of an unwinding. And he notes that many companies adjacent to AI, like those relating to the electrical grid, have been left for dead. (17:36)

Finally, Larry explains that the pain cycles following market bubbles should be longer, but quantitative easing has gotten in the way of that natural process. Bad businesses used to be cleaned out, but now they're able to survive. Larry condemns "evil" passive investing and talks about how much worse the practice has gotten in the past decade and a half. He then lists off a few specific stocks he finds attractive today and advises investors to be careful about buying dips. (36:56)

In a market like we see today, investors tend to throw caution to the wind...

Whether it's the next SPAC offering, cryptocurrency, or even an obscure ape-themed piece of digital art, it seems like you can find a buyer for just about any asset nowadays...

But, as Dan often points out, chasing these short term gains has tons of risk. For most folks, you're likely much better off holding real hard assets as a part of a diversified investment portfolio.

So that's why this week, Dan invites Rick Rule back onto the show to talk about investing in real hard assets and the booming resource markets.

Rick began his career in the securities business in 1974 and has been principally involved with natural resource securities ever since. Over his long career, Rick has originated and participated in hundreds of debt and equity transactions with private, pre-public, and public companies.

Today, Rick is widely regarded as one of the most accomplished natural resource investors on the planet.

During their conversation, Dan and Rick dive deep into the weeds on the rising inflation numbers and what that means for commodity prices going forward...

Rick even shares the names of a few fascinating ways to play uranium and silver markets, that you likely have never heard of before.

It's an episode with a ton of valuable ideas that you won't want to miss. Rick shares some of the biggest lessons he's learned and unlearned from his nearly 50 years of investing experience.

David Daglio, the chief investment officer and global investment strategist of wealth- advisory firm TwinFocus, joins the show. He kicks things off by describing himself as a contrarian, and he explains that understanding who you are as a person will lead to the best investing results. After, he goes into detail on how TwinFocus looks for creative "straw hat" solutions that the market isn't seeing. Plus, he talks about risk premiums, the current opportunity in natural gas, and the 30-year discount in gold-mining stocks. (3:29)

Next, David discusses the advantages and disadvantages of working at a large firm versus being an individual investor. He shares that individual investors have the advantage of not being overloaded with information, plus they're their own boss and can make their own decisions. David also details the three conditions TwinFocus looks for before jumping into an investment, the importance of recognizing your own intellectual biases, and how market skepticism can be a huge opportunity. (15:29)

Lastly, David talks about "net-net" companies in the biotech sector that are trading for less than their total assets... he breaks down what capital imbalance is and how to spot it... and he explains that the savviest investors try to be like Spock from Star Trek, valuing facts over feelings. (28:49)

Dan and Corey close out the podcast by discussing the Stansberry Research editorial meeting that happened last week. This meeting brings Stansberry's editors and analysts together to discuss different investing ideas and pertinent world news. One of the hot topics at the meeting was the presidential election in November. Dan and Corey emphasize that the best investors keep politics out of their investing decisions and stick to their core strategy regardless of which candidate takes office. (49:22)