Macro Bytes

After months of piecemeal economic policy support, Chinese stimulus has stepped up significantly and equity markets have surged higher. Paul Diggle and Luke Bartholomew speak to Robert Gilhooly about the headwinds the Chinese economy has been facing, the risks of China slipping into ‘Japanification’, and whether recent measures represent a turning point in monetary and fiscal policy support.

Biden vowed to ‘reset’ the approach to foreign policy and rekindle international relationships. But how has he fared? Join Stephanie Kelly and special guest Jeffrey Wright as they discuss repairing allyship in Europe, the US China relationship and what this means for the macro environment.
Jeffrey Wright, analyst at Eurasia Group's North America practice, shares his expertise in US fiscal, foreign, trade, and regulatory policy, as well as presidential politics.

Part 1 begins by summarising Biden’s approach to foreign policy compared to his predecessor. In particular, the discussion is around the US position in global politics and how allies are reacting to a more friendly US partnership.

Part 2 The focus then shifts to the climate agenda, the US China stand-off and impacts on countries caught in the cross hairs.
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Paul and Luke talk to Eddie Donmez, global markets analyst and a popular finance influencer at Finimize.

Eddie tells us what it means to be a finance influencer, and talks about changing trends in the retail investor community around access to high quality research. We also talk about events at Silicon Valley Bank. Finally, Eddie tells us why he thinks chatbots and AI innovations will change how finance research and analysis is done.

Paul and Luke talk to James McCann, Deputy Chief Economist at abrdn, about the significant rise in global bond yields. They discuss what has driven this increase, and in particular the importance of rising term premia for the economy and monetary policy.

The global macroeconomic and geopolitical environment is filled with risks around inflation, interest rates, and instability in the Middle East. Paul Diggle and Luke Bartholomew discuss how scenario analysis can help investors to navigate uncertainty. They also consider the Bernanke review of the Bank of England’s forecasting process, which includes a recommendation to make greater use of scenarios.