Chinese Spy Balloons, Russian Sanctions, and Iran's Nukes
02/07/23 • 69 min
We begin with the latest updates on the Russia-Ukraine War and how Russia’s sheer numbers in manpower might help it regain momentum. We also discuss the debate over whether the US should support a Ukrainian offense in Crimea and why Western sanctions on Russia have had an underwhelming effect on the Russian economy and its ability to wage war.
One of the biggest stories in the US this week was the discovery of a Chinese surveillance balloon. We discuss this and the news of the US expanding its military presence in the Philippines. We wrap up by talking about US hopes to divert its supply chains from China to its allies.
Finally, we cover the latest Israeli strike on Iran and how Israel - Iran relations are likely to fare under the new Netanyahu administration.
Topics Discussed in this Episode
- [06:30] Russia-Ukraine Update: Sanction Failures and Crimea End Game
- [33:30] Chinese Balloon Drama and US Alliance Building in Asia
- [57:30] Israel Strikes Iran and the Prospects for War
Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode
Russia-Ukraine Update: Sanction Failures and Crimea End Game
- Ukraine Fears New Offensive Is Underway as Russia Masses Troops (NY Times)
- Russian Crude Trade Moves Deep Into the Shadows (Energy Intel)
- Russia Sidesteps Western Punishments, With Help From Friends (NY Times)
- What Ukraine Needs to Liberate Crimea (Foreign Affairs- Alexander Vindman)
- The Case for Caution on Crimea (War on the Rocks- James Acton)
Chinese Balloon Drama and US Alliance Building in Asia
- Chinese Spy Balloon or ‘Civilian Device’? (NY Times)
- China’s suspected spy balloon is the perfect symbol of its clumsiness (WaPo)
- Biden Aims to Deter China With Greater U.S. Military Presence in Philippines (NY Times)
- U.S. Pursues India as a Supply-Chain Alternative to China (WSJ)
Israel Strikes Iran and the Prospects for War
Follow Us
- Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com
- Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg
- Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg
- Show YouTube
We begin with the latest updates on the Russia-Ukraine War and how Russia’s sheer numbers in manpower might help it regain momentum. We also discuss the debate over whether the US should support a Ukrainian offense in Crimea and why Western sanctions on Russia have had an underwhelming effect on the Russian economy and its ability to wage war.
One of the biggest stories in the US this week was the discovery of a Chinese surveillance balloon. We discuss this and the news of the US expanding its military presence in the Philippines. We wrap up by talking about US hopes to divert its supply chains from China to its allies.
Finally, we cover the latest Israeli strike on Iran and how Israel - Iran relations are likely to fare under the new Netanyahu administration.
Topics Discussed in this Episode
- [06:30] Russia-Ukraine Update: Sanction Failures and Crimea End Game
- [33:30] Chinese Balloon Drama and US Alliance Building in Asia
- [57:30] Israel Strikes Iran and the Prospects for War
Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode
Russia-Ukraine Update: Sanction Failures and Crimea End Game
- Ukraine Fears New Offensive Is Underway as Russia Masses Troops (NY Times)
- Russian Crude Trade Moves Deep Into the Shadows (Energy Intel)
- Russia Sidesteps Western Punishments, With Help From Friends (NY Times)
- What Ukraine Needs to Liberate Crimea (Foreign Affairs- Alexander Vindman)
- The Case for Caution on Crimea (War on the Rocks- James Acton)
Chinese Balloon Drama and US Alliance Building in Asia
- Chinese Spy Balloon or ‘Civilian Device’? (NY Times)
- China’s suspected spy balloon is the perfect symbol of its clumsiness (WaPo)
- Biden Aims to Deter China With Greater U.S. Military Presence in Philippines (NY Times)
- U.S. Pursues India as a Supply-Chain Alternative to China (WSJ)
Israel Strikes Iran and the Prospects for War
Follow Us
- Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com
- Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg
- Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg
- Show YouTube
Previous Episode
Talking China in the Middle East with Jonathan Fulton
On this episode, Anita spoke with Jonathan Fulton, a Professor at Zayed University in Abu Dhabi and a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. We discussed China’s relationships in the Middle East and how they go beyond seeing the region as a source of cheap oil.
We also talk about the latest updates on the Russia-Ukraine war, including the flow of Western military equipment into Ukraine and Germany’s refusal to provide its Leopard 2 tanks. We also discuss why Putin is losing the energy war with Europe.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is in Africa this week. We explain why she is there and what the US hopes to achieve. We consider the trip in light of Russia’s and China’s recent diplomatic tours of the region.
Topics Discussed in this Episode
- Russia-Ukraine Update: Tanks, tanks, and more tanks - 4:35
- Janet Yellen goes to Africa - 21:00
- Interview with Jonathan Fulton - 45:15
Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode
Russia-Ukraine War Update: Tanks, tanks, and more tanks
- German caution on Ukraine arms rooted in political culture (AP)
- A helicopter crash has dealt a heavy blow to Ukraine’s government (The Economist)
- Twitter thread on M1-Abrams by Gen. Mark Hertling (Twitter)
- Vladimir Putin is losing the energy war (FT)
Janet Yellen goes to Africa
- Yellen's message in Africa: We're here to stay (Axios)
- Why US-Africa relations — and Africa — matter now more than ever (The Hill)
- The Chinese-African relationship is important to both sides, but also unbalanced (The Economist)
Interview with Jonathan Fulton
- China-MENA Podcast (Atlantic Council)
- Twitter @johnanfulton
- China’s Relations with the Gulf Monarchies
Follow Us
- Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com
- Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg
- Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg
- Show YouTube
Next Episode
All About China with Bonnie Glaser
On this episode, Anita speaks with Bonnie Glaser, who is the managing director of the German Marshall Fund's Indo-Pacific program. Our conversation is all about China as we discuss spy balloons, Taiwan, and the conditions that might spark China to risk war with the United States.
We begin the show with the latest updates on the Russia-Ukraine war. Ryan explains the conspiracy theory that posits that the US critically damaged the Nord Stream pipeline that brought gas from Russia into Germany.
The current head of the World Bank unexpectedly resigned this week. We explain why he is leaving and why it matters. We also discuss the mission of the World Bank and why many want to have it have a larger role in addressing the issue of climate change in developing countries.
Topics Discussed in this Episode
- 05:00: Russia-Ukraine Update: Russian Offensive and Nord Stream Allegations
- 32:30: World Bank: Politics and Climate Change
- 48:00: Interview with Bonnie Glaser
Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode
Russia-Ukraine Update: Russian Offensive and Nord Stream Allegations
- Moscow’s Military Capabilities Are in Question After Failed Battle for Ukrainian City (NY Times)
- How the War in Ukraine Ends (The New Yorker)
- Nord Stream, Seymour Hersh and how disinformation works (Natalia Antelava)
- Our tweet thread debunking Hersh article on Nord Stream allegations
World Bank: Politics and Climate Change
- The World Bank: What it is and how it operates (Bretton Woods project)
- World Bank head denies climate controversy spurred resignation (WaPo)
- Malpass survives climate gaffe, but the World Bank’s fossil fuel policy may not (Politico)
Interview with Bonnie Glaser
- German Marshall Fund
- Twitter (@BonnieGlaser)
- China Global Podcast
- U.S.-Taiwan Relations: Will China's Challenge Lead to a Crisis?
Follow Us
- Show Website: www.kelloggsglobalpolitics.com
- Show Twitter: @GlobalKellogg
- Anita’s Twitter: @arkellogg
- Show YouTube
Kellogg's Global Politics - Chinese Spy Balloons, Russian Sanctions, and Iran's Nukes
Transcript
Anita Kellogg: [00:00:00] Welcome to Kellogg's Global Politics, a podcast on current events in US foreign Policy and international affairs. My name is Dr. Anita Kellogg, an international relation scholar specializing in the relationship between economics and national security. I'm here with my co-host, Ryan Kellogg, an expert in energy investment and policy.
Ryan Kellogg: Thanks and glad to be back. So this is episode 28 and we're recording this on Febru
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