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Harvard Harris Poll Debrief with Mark Penn and Bob Cusack - HARVARD-HARRIS POLL MARCH 2022

HARVARD-HARRIS POLL MARCH 2022

03/29/22 • 29 min

Harvard Harris Poll Debrief with Mark Penn and Bob Cusack

Each month, presidential pollster, Harris Poll Chairman and Stagwell Global Chairman & CEO MARK PENN and BOB CUSACK, Editor in Chief of The Hill discuss the findings of the latest Harvard CAPS / Harris poll. This month's survey of 1,990 registered voters was conducted between March 23-24, 2022. (Link to the full poll is here).
Despite a slight uptick in optimism for the direction of the country and economy, Biden’s approval rating remains at 39%. A little more than half of voters have doubts about his mental fitness and ability to handle difficult international situations, while 6 in 10 deem him too old for office.
GOP support heading into the midterm election is now strong. In the Congressional horserace, Republicans edge out Democrats 53 to 47, winning two thirds of the Independent vote, and leading among suburbanites, men, women, middled-aged, and older voters.
Inflation and soaring prices (32%), the economy and unemployment (27%), and immigration (21%) have taken as the top issues among voters, while concern over COVID is quickly falling in priority. Three out of four voters say they have been affected by inflation directly at the grocery line and the gas pump. 8 out of 10 voters expect inflation to stay high or get worse, and public opinion is split on whether the Fed should be toggling interest rates in this economic climate or whether that would result in worse outcomes.
Blame for the uptick in oil prices is placed on Biden (64%) and Putin (72%). In this environment, two thirds of voters want Biden to relax climate change policies and loosen regulations on domestic drilling of oil and gas. Today, more than three fourths of voters support restarting the Keystone pipeline to alleviate costs.
Voters resoundingly want more action taken by US & NATO leadership when it comes to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Seven out of ten voters want more punishing economic sanctions; 76% want the U.S. and NATO to send missile defense systems; and 71% would send military aircraft to Ukraine. 57% support a no-fly zone despite the risks of directly engaging with Russia’s military; however, voters are split on boots on the ground, with just less than half supporting this action. Today an overwhelming majority of American voters (86%) believe Russia’s actions to be war crimes punishable by the international court of justice, with equal numbers believing Putin is directly responsible for these war crimes.
Sanctioning Russia through private business interruption remains very popular, as an overwhelming majority (three-fourths) want American companies, big tech and even fast-food companies to suspend operations in the Kremlin.
Public opinion on some of the other topics in the news offers interesting insights into the voice of American voters. 57% of voters support the confirmation of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court. A large majority of voters oppose sexuality being discussed at the elementary school level, and around two thirds of voters oppose transitioning athletes competing in opposite sex sports events.

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Each month, presidential pollster, Harris Poll Chairman and Stagwell Global Chairman & CEO MARK PENN and BOB CUSACK, Editor in Chief of The Hill discuss the findings of the latest Harvard CAPS / Harris poll. This month's survey of 1,990 registered voters was conducted between March 23-24, 2022. (Link to the full poll is here).
Despite a slight uptick in optimism for the direction of the country and economy, Biden’s approval rating remains at 39%. A little more than half of voters have doubts about his mental fitness and ability to handle difficult international situations, while 6 in 10 deem him too old for office.
GOP support heading into the midterm election is now strong. In the Congressional horserace, Republicans edge out Democrats 53 to 47, winning two thirds of the Independent vote, and leading among suburbanites, men, women, middled-aged, and older voters.
Inflation and soaring prices (32%), the economy and unemployment (27%), and immigration (21%) have taken as the top issues among voters, while concern over COVID is quickly falling in priority. Three out of four voters say they have been affected by inflation directly at the grocery line and the gas pump. 8 out of 10 voters expect inflation to stay high or get worse, and public opinion is split on whether the Fed should be toggling interest rates in this economic climate or whether that would result in worse outcomes.
Blame for the uptick in oil prices is placed on Biden (64%) and Putin (72%). In this environment, two thirds of voters want Biden to relax climate change policies and loosen regulations on domestic drilling of oil and gas. Today, more than three fourths of voters support restarting the Keystone pipeline to alleviate costs.
Voters resoundingly want more action taken by US & NATO leadership when it comes to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Seven out of ten voters want more punishing economic sanctions; 76% want the U.S. and NATO to send missile defense systems; and 71% would send military aircraft to Ukraine. 57% support a no-fly zone despite the risks of directly engaging with Russia’s military; however, voters are split on boots on the ground, with just less than half supporting this action. Today an overwhelming majority of American voters (86%) believe Russia’s actions to be war crimes punishable by the international court of justice, with equal numbers believing Putin is directly responsible for these war crimes.
Sanctioning Russia through private business interruption remains very popular, as an overwhelming majority (three-fourths) want American companies, big tech and even fast-food companies to suspend operations in the Kremlin.
Public opinion on some of the other topics in the news offers interesting insights into the voice of American voters. 57% of voters support the confirmation of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court. A large majority of voters oppose sexuality being discussed at the elementary school level, and around two thirds of voters oppose transitioning athletes competing in opposite sex sports events.

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undefined - Biden Job Approval Sinks to 38 Percent - New Harvard Harris Poll - February 2022

Biden Job Approval Sinks to 38 Percent - New Harvard Harris Poll - February 2022

Presidential Pollster, Harris Poll Chairman and Stagwell Chairman & CEO MARK PENN and BOB CUSACK, Editor-in-Chief of The Hill discuss NEW Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, fielded among 2,026 registered votes Feb. 23-24, just as Russia’s incursion into Ukraine was beginning to take shape. The findings reflect a bleak mood among the American body politic, shaped by worsening economic expectations and a perceived lack of strength on Ukraine. (Link to the full poll is here).
These timely findings, and much more covering the Supreme Court nominee, crime, and covid are available in the poll. As always feel free to reach out with questions and follow my podcast about the poll at www.MARKPENNPOLLS.com (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro.
President Biden’s job approval is at its lowest point in our poll -- 38 percent. Only a third of voters say that Biden is doing a good job on the economy and stimulating jobs. Further, 54% say Biden say they are not confide Biden is able to handle difficult international issues like Ukraine. 64% say he is showing he is too old and 53% have doubts about his mental fitness for office
President Biden is seen as being weak on Russia in the lead-up to the Ukraine invasion. Sixty-four percent see Biden as having been too lenient on Russia. Fifty-nine percent say Vladimir Putin sees weakness in Biden that is why he is moving on Ukraine (including 55% of independents). And 62 percent say Putin would not have moved against Ukraine if Trump was president (including 63% of independents).

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undefined - "FEAR" - Mark Penn and Bob Cusack discuss new Harvard Harris Poll (April, 2022)

"FEAR" - Mark Penn and Bob Cusack discuss new Harvard Harris Poll (April, 2022)

Each month, presidential pollster, Harris Poll Chairman and Stagwell Global Chairman & CEO MARK PENN and BOB CUSACK, Editor in Chief of The Hill discuss the findings of the latest Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll. This month's survey of 1,966 registered voters was conducted between April 20 - April 21, 2022. (Link to the full poll is here). When asked how he'd sum up the mood of the country in just one word, Penn offered "FEAR". This was also the theme of Penn's April 25 Opinion essay in The New York Times: American Voters Haven’t Been Afraid Like This in a Long Time .
"In a rare convergence,
America’s voters are not merely unhappy with their political leadership, but awash in fears about economic security, border security, international security and even physical security. Without a U-turn by the Biden administration, this fear will generate a wave election like those in 1994 and 2010, setting off a chain reaction that could flip the House and the Senate to Republican control in November, and ultimately the presidency in 2024.

Take the economy, so often the harbinger of election results. From late 2017 until the pandemic, a majority of Americans believed that the economy was strong, and from 2014 until the pandemic at least a plurality believed their personal economic situation was improving. Covid-19 cut sharply into that feeling of well-being; this was initially seen as temporary, though, and trillions of dollars flowed into keeping people afloat. But then near-double-digit inflation hit consumers for the first time in 40 years; 60 percent of voters now see the economy as weak and 48 percent say their financial situation is worsening, according to a Harris poll conducted April 20-21. Many Americans under 60 have relatively little experience with anything but comparatively low fuel costs, negligible interest rates and stable prices. Virtually overnight these assumptions have been shaken. Only 35 percent approve of President Biden’s handling of inflation. FULL OP-ED

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