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WashingtonWise - How to Navigate the 2024 Markets Like the Pros

How to Navigate the 2024 Markets Like the Pros

01/11/24 • 37 min

WashingtonWise

For investors, 2024 has more than its share of unknowns, including what steps the Fed and other central banks will take, the direction of ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and how elections both in the U.S. and more than 60 countries around the world will play out. These unpredictable factors can lead to volatility in the markets and anxiety for investors, which can contribute to poor decisions. One way for investors to navigate a challenging environment is to understand how fund managers make decisions when facing uncertainty. On today’s episode, host Mike Townsend talks with Omar Aguilar, CEO and chief investment officer at Schwab Asset Management, about how fund managers keep their emotions in check when volatility increases. They discuss how to diversify when it feels like every investor is invested in the same small number of companies, what to watch for in the first quarter earnings season, and whether now is the time to put some cash that has been earning decent returns back into the market. They also talk about how staying invested, staying diversified, and staying disciplined are critical to reaching your investing goals during times of market stress.

Mike also provides updates from Washington on the latest talks to avert a looming government shutdown and the president’s request for emergency aid for Ukraine, Israel, and other global priorities.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk

Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.

Small cap investments are subject to greater volatility than those in other asset categories.

​Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.

Rebalancing does not protect against losses or guarantee that an investor’s goal will be met. Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public ...

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For investors, 2024 has more than its share of unknowns, including what steps the Fed and other central banks will take, the direction of ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and how elections both in the U.S. and more than 60 countries around the world will play out. These unpredictable factors can lead to volatility in the markets and anxiety for investors, which can contribute to poor decisions. One way for investors to navigate a challenging environment is to understand how fund managers make decisions when facing uncertainty. On today’s episode, host Mike Townsend talks with Omar Aguilar, CEO and chief investment officer at Schwab Asset Management, about how fund managers keep their emotions in check when volatility increases. They discuss how to diversify when it feels like every investor is invested in the same small number of companies, what to watch for in the first quarter earnings season, and whether now is the time to put some cash that has been earning decent returns back into the market. They also talk about how staying invested, staying diversified, and staying disciplined are critical to reaching your investing goals during times of market stress.

Mike also provides updates from Washington on the latest talks to avert a looming government shutdown and the president’s request for emergency aid for Ukraine, Israel, and other global priorities.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk

Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.

Small cap investments are subject to greater volatility than those in other asset categories.

​Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.

Rebalancing does not protect against losses or guarantee that an investor’s goal will be met. Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public ...

Previous Episode

undefined - Shape Up Your Financial Plan for 2024

Shape Up Your Financial Plan for 2024

With 2023 winding down, it’s important for investors to take stock of their financial plan, consider strategies to minimize taxes, and begin looking for opportunities in 2024. Host Mike Townsend is joined by Daniel Stein, who manages two Schwab branches in Virginia, to discuss what investors are most concerned about right now, some key end-of-year planning strategies for investors to consider, and how to think about some of the uncertainties facing the markets next year. Dan provides practical suggestions on minimizing taxes by using tax-loss harvesting and other techniques; the importance of creating an estate plan or revisiting the one you have to help ensure it still fits your evolving circumstances, along with some specific strategies for estate planning; and taking a longer-term view on fixed income investing. He also discusses Schwab’s 2024 market outlook.

Mike also provides updates on the latest news out of Washington, including the negotiations over a major aid package for Ukraine and Israel, next week’s Fed meeting, and a decision by the IRS to delay a controversial new tax reporting requirement for payment apps and e-commerce platforms.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk

Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.

A bond ladder, depending on the types and amount of securities within the ladder, may not ensure adequate diversification of your investment portfolio. This potential lack of diversification may result in heightened volatility of the value of your portfolio. As compared to other fixed income products and strategies, engaging in a bond ladder strategy may potentially result in future reinvestment at lower interest rates and may necessitate higher minimum investments to maintain cost-effectiveness. Evaluate whether a bond ladder and the securities held within it are consistent with your investment objective, risk tolerance and financial circumstances.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.

Neither the tax-loss harvesting strategy, nor any discussion herein, is intended as tax advice and does not represent that any particular tax consequences will be obtained. Tax-loss harvesting involves certain risks including unintended tax implications. Investors should consult with their tax advisors and refer to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) website at www.irs.gov about the consequences of tax-loss harvesting.

Roth IRA conversions require a 5-year holding period before earn...

Next Episode

undefined - Markets Notch Record Rally: Is It Sustainable?

Markets Notch Record Rally: Is It Sustainable?

With the S&P 500® and Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting record highs recently, the bear market is officially over. But is this momentum sustainable? Schwab Senior Investment Strategist Kevin Gordon joins host Mike Townsend to dig into the latest economic data and discuss some potentially worrisome signals as well as signs of improvement. They also preview the upcoming Fed meeting and the outlook for rate cuts in 2024, discuss how rolling recessions are starting to become rolling recoveries, and remind investors why they should not let this year’s presidential election become an investing distraction.

And Mike provides an update on the latest from Washington, where lawmakers again barely averted a government shutdown, there is surprising bipartisan support for a tax bill, and the SEC reluctantly approved the first Bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit Schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

Important Disclosures

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion are subject to changes without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic, and geopolitical conditions. Data herein is obtained from what are considered reliable sources; however, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk

Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.

Small cap investments are subject to greater volatility than those in other asset categories.

​Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.

Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.

​Rebalancing does not protect against losses or guarantee that an investor’s goal will be met. Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.

Digital currencies [such as bitcoin] are highly volatile and not backed by any central bank or government. Digital currencies lack many of the regulations and consumer protections that legal-tender currencies and regulated securities have. Due to the high level of risk, investors should view digital currencies as a purely speculative instrument.

Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially eme...

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