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Unhedged - GDP goes negative

GDP goes negative

05/01/25 • 23 min

1 Listener

Unhedged

The GDP contracted this past quarter – a turnaround from two years of surprisingly steady growth. Baked into that negative number are imports, as sellers rush to bring in goods ahead of tariffs. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter dissect the GDP and what it tells us about the rapidly changing economy. Also they go long soyabeans and long blackouts.


For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.


You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected].


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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The GDP contracted this past quarter – a turnaround from two years of surprisingly steady growth. Baked into that negative number are imports, as sellers rush to bring in goods ahead of tariffs. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter dissect the GDP and what it tells us about the rapidly changing economy. Also they go long soyabeans and long blackouts.


For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.


You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected].


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Air and sea freight bookings for international cargo are plunging. As the reality of empty shelves starts to hit consumers, will Donald Trump blink? Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong try to figure out how long the US president can hold out, and wonder, if he does blink, how long it might take to get trade going again. Also they go long Greggs bakery chain and short the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey.


For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.


You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected].


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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There is fast money and there is real money. Fast money means day traders and hedge funds, who jump in and out on the day's news. But the real money — that of governments and insurance and pension funds — moves much more slowly, and with greater effect. Today on the show, Katie Martin speaks with Ian Smith on what may be a slow turn of allocation out of the US and into Europe. Also they go short consumer confidence and long lepidoptery.


For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.


You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected].


Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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