Trading Tips

With the end of the year, there are all sorts of predictions about the next. But more important than predictions are specific investment ideas.

There are a few ways to take advantage of the changing calendar and find profitable investments. By focusing on a few key areas and concepts, traders can find specific investments that play to these opportunities.

First, investors can look to buy stocks that have been out of favor with the market. By doing so, investors are taking advantage of the market’s propensity to revert to the mean, where underperforming assets catch up with the rest of the market.

One obvious area for that is in the technology space. Many of these names are still off their all-time highs of a few years back, and have room to push the market higher even as some of 2019’s top winners become laggards.

Another area is in companies that had some specific issues with the operations that held back shares in the past year. There are always some solid companies dealing with some short-term events likely to keep their share price out of favor with the market. But when those fears dissipate, investors will get huge returns as the fear subsides.

Finally, there are areas where instability is brewing. That’s usually the most obvious in the commodity market, where supply and demand imbalances can set up for some sizeable profits in a short amount of time.

By taking advantage of these areas, investors can ensure they make a profit, no matter what the overall market is doing.
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One of the best-performing stocks of the 2010’s was Netflix. And, with 2019’s

big push for new streaming services, the competition is heating up.

The most interesting competitor to emerge this year was The Walt Disney

Company (DIS), with its Disney+ streaming service launch.

Taking advantage of its massive library of content spanning nearly a century,

the company could have gotten away with pricing its service at a premium.

But instead, Disney went with one of the most accessible prices on the

market, with a $6.99 monthly fee, well below that of other competitors with

fewer offerings.

And the launch has hit the ground running, with millions of sign-ups, as well

as a handful of hiccups on the first day of launch. But the company got its

tech issues resolved, and it’s also got a solid hit with one of its original

programs,

The Mandolorian, a show that takes place in the Star Wars

universe. While that’s a great development, what does it mean for shares? After all,

the announcement of the new service early in 2019 sent shares soaring. And

the lack of any issues or challenges to the service right away also sent

shares roaring even higher to close out the year.

That’s a potential sign that shares may have peaked. The billions of dollars in

cash flow from monthly subscriptions will help the bottom line. But the media

giant also just had a great year at the box office, smashing records. It won’t

be able to have that kind of lineup anytime in the next few years.

Given that the Disney+ news this year has sent shares to 23 times earnings,

it’s possible that the company may underperform for the next few years—

and investors would be better to wait for a sizeable pullback before looking

to invest.
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Companies come and go. The last component of the original Dow Jones Index, General Electric, got booted last year.
But you could have been out of that name for far longer if you had followed a simple rule: Only invest in companies that deliver increasing income to shareholders every year by increasing their dividend.
Following that rule would have gotten you out of a lot of stocks before they really took a dive—and kept you in some of the best wealth-building stocks of all time.
In the end, researching the market for stocks that deliver great returns to investors over time will often come up with these same companies. After all, if they can keep paying more income out to shareholders every year for 15, 20, 25, or even 50 years (if not longer), they’re going to give you capital gains over time as well.
Looking and analyzing these companies, and loading up your portfolio with them, reinvesting the dividends, and waiting out the market is a simple way to build a wealth-generating machine as if by magic. Knowing how to find these stocks unlocks some of the market’s best gems.
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One simple way to find excellent investment prospects is to look for a company that’s the equivalent of a toll bridge spanning a river. If someone wants to cross, they have to pay a toll. The alternative may be to go to another point, costing time and distance far in excess of the toll.
These “toll booth” opportunities tend to reward investors disproportionately thanks to this built-in advantage that they have.
Nearly every investment sector can have a toll-bridge opportunity if you know where to look.
As news unfolds about the 5G network, and as companies position themselves with shifting alliances like something out of an episode of Game of Thrones, a toll booth opportunity exists as well.
That opportunity is with cell tower companies. These companies are all structured as REITS, to reflect the fact that they have a physical presence in the real world. Without cell towers and repeaters, the cell phone connectivity that we take for granted simply wouldn’t exist.
While these companies may not pay the high dividends compared to other REITs, they do have much bigger growth opportunities. As the 5G network rolls out, they’ll act as that all-important toll bridge between someone’s cell phone and the network itself. That’s a powerful position, and one that can’t be easily replaced.
This new battleground sector is ripe for profit. But only one area offers the best prospect for consistent, high-margin profits for investors going forward.
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Investing is a never-ending marathon, not a sprint. Yet Wall Street traders tend to rely heavily on trading opportunities centering on earnings season. Four times a year, a company reports earnings, as well as their guidance for future quarters. These days can see big swings in a company stock price—making it one of the best times to trade.
But there are other developments the other 89 days of the quarter. And with so much focus on bottom-line earnings, more mundane announcements often don’t cause a rapid price move in shares.
That’s good news—or bad news—for investors, depending on what’s reported. In the category of good news, however, we know a few things that tend to cause stock prices to rise more often than fall.
For instance, a company reporting layoffs tends to see its share price rise. Shrinking the headcount at a company can reduce payroll expenses and increase profitability. While it may sound callous, the market responds to the company’s improvement, not the workers who are worse off.
A company may also avoid earnings season to announce a big acquisition or the development of a complementary product or service that can gain market share, improve profit margins, or otherwise improve profitability. If these announcements happen quietly, like on a company blog, it may take a long time to get priced in. If announce at a conference, there may be an immediate bounce on hype, that will die off before a longer-term profit can be made.
In any event, items discussed by a company outside its earnings may have an impact on how they perform down the line. Looking out for announcements like a new product or sizeable layoff can be a good sign that a company’s shares will rise in the coming weeks and months.
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