Top of the Morning

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Tuesday, December 31, 2024. This is Nelson John, let's get started.

The markets regulator’s crackdown on futures and options trading is already showing significant impact. Ram Sahgal reports a nearly 25% month-on-month decline in index options turnover in November, with retail and proprietary traders accounting for about 75% of this drop. Stricter curbs, including larger contract sizes, are set to take effect in January, likely reducing volumes further in the new year. Sebi implemented these measures in response to widespread losses incurred by retail investors in F&O trading over the past couple of years.

Adani Enterprises announced plans to sell its 43.94% stake in Adani Wilmar to joint venture partner Wilmar International for over $2 billion. Nehal Chaliawala reports that the move aims to address liquidity concerns as the company refocuses on core business investments. Adani Wilmar, with annual revenue nearing ₹50,000 crore, will also undergo a name change. Additionally, 12.87% of its stake will be sold through an offer for sale to meet public shareholding requirements. This decision comes amid speculation about Adani's exit from non-core businesses following allegations of fraud that have affected the group's financial stability.

In a report released on Monday, the Reserve Bank of India flagged concerns about stress in unsecured retail credit spilling over to larger loans, such as housing and auto loans. Shayan Ghosh reports that nearly half of personal loan borrowers also have outstanding secured loans. According to the RBI’s Financial Stability Report, defaults in unsecured loans could prompt lenders to classify other loans held by the same borrower as non-performing. While the gross non-performing asset (GNPA) ratio for unsecured loans currently stands at 1.7%, the RBI cautioned that rising write-offs could be masking the true extent of asset quality risks.

According to the Chinese zodiac, 2025 will be the Year of the Snake—symbolizing flexibility, growth, and change. Devina Sengupta writes that India Inc. is set to experience all these dynamics, with employees expected to switch jobs at a faster pace. Companies will likely go beyond salary hikes to focus on upskilling initiatives. While rural hiring in the FMCG sector is projected to rise by 10%, weak consumer demand, driven by inflation, may dampen growth. High demand for talent is anticipated in sectors like AI, data science, and digital transformation. Compensation increases are forecasted to average around 9.5%, underscoring the competitive landscape for skilled professionals.

During the 2015 Paris Agreement, India committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2070. Among India Inc., the targets vary significantly. Of the Nifty50 companies, 19 have yet to set net-zero or carbon-neutral goals, 20 have set net-zero targets with a median year of 2040, and 11 aim for carbon neutrality by 2032. Nehal Chaliawala reports that Infosys was the first to achieve carbon neutrality in 2020 and plans to reach net-zero by 2040. His analysis highlights that the IT sector leads in climate commitments, while financial services have the highest proportion of companies without stated goals. Other sectors, such as automotive and pharmaceuticals, also lag behind with unclear climate targets.

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Friday, October 4, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started.

The festive season usually brings a buzz to India's stock markets, but this year it's been anything but cheerful. Over July and August, investors saw their wealth shrink by a whopping Rs 11 trillion due to a record exodus of foreign investors, a bounce in Chinese stocks, and brewing tensions in the Middle East – not to mention steep valuations of Indian stocks. Here's the kicker: all this drama synced up with the weekly Nifty expiry on Thursday, known for causing wild swings, so the Nifty and Sensex dropped more than 2%. This was the steepest in two months, driven by a record single-day sale of shares worth more than 15,000 crore rupees by foreign institutional investors. While domestic institutional investors did step up with purchases worth nearly 13,000 crore, it wasn't enough to prevent the dip. Catch Ram Sahgal’s report chronicling the bloodbath on D-street in the show notes.

Direct-to-consumer fem-tech startups are gaining traction in India. This trend is driven by increased female employment, higher disposable incomes, and savvy social media marketing. Sowmya Ramasubramanian and Suneera Tandon write that despite capturing less than 10% of the market, these startups are already worrying major players. There are obvious challenges, such as cultural stigmas and affordability, especially in rural areas. However, the sector has seen modest investments so far.

It's placement season for engineering colleges. Last year was rough, with many companies backing out as they faced financial crunches. Devina Sengupta reports this year looks much the same, unfortunately, with recruiters staying cautious. Global economic uncertainties, including wars, inflation, and the US presidential election's potential impact on offshoring policies are to blame. Devina explains how colleges are responding to this problem, and the salaries graduates can expect in such a job market.

Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has ended up as the sole candidate to pick up a majority stake in Yes Bank, after other potential buyers Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. and Emirates NBD backed out due to India’s strict caps on voting rights, Anirudh Laskar and Gopika Gopakumar report. MUFG sees big potential in India's financial sector and has begun conducting due diligence with help from JP Morgan. The road hasn’t been smooth, though. Yes Bank has been looking for a new owner for more than six months, but India's rules limiting voting rights in private banks to 26% have turned many away. Despite the restrictions, MUFG is exploring ways to buy more than 26% of Yes Bank.

India's goods exports have grown marginally in the first five months of the fiscal year, rising only 1.1% year-on-year. The post-covid surge in goods exports appears to have subsided. But, the real story is the boom in services exports, which shot up by about 11% during the same period. In August alone, services exports jumped to $30.7 billion, inching closer to goods exports at $34.7 billion. If this trend holds, services could outpace goods exports soon, marking a major shift that’s been brewing for over two decades. Our partners at HowIndiaLives.com delve deeper into the changing landscape of Indian exports. A decade ago, services exports were just a third of India’s total exports, but this July they accounted for 47%. Since 1993, services exports have grown by an average of 14% a year, outpacing the 10.7% annual growth rate of goods exports. India is now the world’s 7th-largest services exporter, up from 24th in 2001.

Show notes:

Bloodbath on D-street as hot money races to China

Menstrual hygiene products are stuck in time. These startups want to change that

IIT hiring: Will it be a rocky one for the batch of ‘25?

MUFG: Last man standing in Yes Bank sale

The silver lining in India’s exports basket

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Thursday, October 3, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started.

We might be on the verge of world war three, as Iran's recent airstrikes on Israel underscore Tehran's readiness to confront any perceived threat. Shweta Singh explains why the situation could escalate, and how the US is involved in the mess. Shweta also explains the implications of this development on India, including how it could affect trade, and helps you understand the complex geopolitical dynamics at play.

In a move to slash legal costs, the Indian government is setting the stage for a new national litigation policy, targeting cases where government entities end up suing each other. With this step, the law ministry aims to curb the financial drain caused by such disputes, particularly among public sector undertakings, Dhirendra Kumar reports. The initiative targets disputes like tender disagreements between PSUs, which not only incur substantial legal costs but also burden the judiciary. With over 50 million pending cases nationwide, such disputes exacerbate the backlog and strain on the legal system. The policy aims to streamline processes and reduce unnecessary legal confrontations.

If you qualify as ultra-rich, chances are you’re tired of five-star hotels. Varuni Khosla writes that super-rich travellers are increasingly drawn to boutique resorts, which offer an intimate and luxurious experience accompanied by meals by high-profile chefs. These resorts are typically in remote locations and cater to the demand for unique and personalised vacations. Affluent millennials are spending more than 25,000 rupees a night to stay at such resorts.

Google's in a bit of a spot in India. The tech giant has decided to settle an antitrust case after the Competition Commission of India flagged its deals with smart TV makers as a no-go under the competition laws. This is a big deal because it's the first time a company is testing India's new settlement process, writes Gireesh Chandra Prasad. Introduced last year, the process could get Google a 15% reduction on the penalty. The CCI initiated the probe in 2021, based on allegations that Google violated competition laws in the Android TV market, specifically through its restrictive agreements with smart TV manufacturers. These agreements allegedly limited the manufacturers' ability to use or develop alternative Android systems.

Indian IT services are gearing up for their September quarter results, with Infosys expected to lead in revenue growth among the top five firms. Analyst forecasts suggest Infosys could achieve revenue growth exceeding 3%, driven by the ramp-up of previously secured deals and the integration of the newly acquired In-tech, Jas Bardia reports. TCS is also expected to grow, though at a more modest 1.5% to 2.4%, supported by its substantial 4G network deployment deal with BSNL. As for the others, HCL Technologies could see growth of up to 1.9%, while Wipro's projections indicate a slight increase or even a minor decline in revenue. TCS will release its results on the 10th, followed by other major firms.

Show notes:

Mint Primer | Iran strikes Israel: What next?

Government’s new litigation policy to target costly PSU disputes

Boutique resorts with celebrity chefs: For the uber-rich bored with luxury stays

Google offers to settle anti-trust case in smart TV probe

Infosys to lead Indian IT pack this festive season

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Wednesday, October 2, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started.

The Indian stock market closed the volatile trading session on a flat note on Tuesday, October 1, amid mixed global signals and uncertain economic indicators. The Nifty 50 closed the session 0.05% lower while the Sensex ended with a slight decline of 0.04%..

The Goods and Services Tax has undergone a series of amendments since it was introduced in 2017. Yesterday the Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs announced yet another important change: an end to the anti-profiteering regime. This had been put in place to ensure that businesses passed on the benefits of GST rate cuts to consumers. Gireesh Chandra Prasad reports that with its removal, businesses will have more freedom to set prices. This change is part of a broader effort to simplify GST compliance, Gireesh adds.

The Leela group of hotels filed papers for a 5,000 crore rupee IPO last month, reflecting a growing appetite for both luxury tourism and luxury hotel stocks. Experts told Abhinaba Saha they expect healthy demand for Leela’s IPO, the largest in the hospitality segment to date, as luxury tourism is just getting started in India. Luxury hotel chain operator Ventive Hospitality announced an IPO worth at least Rs 2,000 crore just a few weeks ago, while Juniper Hotels and Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels were listed in February.

Ever seen ads for music CDs and glass tumblers? They are all over billboards and TV sets, but you’d be hard pressed to find the actual products on sale. That’s because they’re surrogate ads for products such as alcohol. Liquor manufacturers aren't allowed to advertise their products, so resort to such tactics. However, Dhirendra Kumar reports that the Central Consumer Protection Authority is now cracking down on companies that use surrogate advertising and could fine repeat violators 50 lakh rupees.

When Ranveer Allahbadia's YouTube account – which has 17.33 million subscribers – was hacked on September 25th, it highlighted a growing concern about cybersecurity among content creators. Allahbadia's experience served as a stark reminder that no one is immune to cyber threats. Pratishtha Bagai writes about a recent Kaspersky study that revealed 20% of Indian internet users were victims of cyber threats in the first half of 2024 alone. Influencers are now increasingly using two-factor authentication (2FA) and limiting device access to their accounts. Yet, many creators rely on platform support after the fact, rather than taking proactive steps to secure their accounts. Industry experts suggest that influencers, like businesses, should seek professional cyber protection services.

In India's film industry, big-budget spectacles such as Baahubali and Pathaan rake in massive sums at the box office but often see modest profits owing to high production costs. Conversely, mid-budget films have delivered impressive returns. Stree 2, which cost around ₹60 crore to make, grossed more than ₹600 crore. Such films manage to appeal to both urban and regional audiences, often without major stars, and thus have a better return on investment, writes Lata Jha. Sequels such as Gadar 2 and Stree 2 continue to attract audiences by leveraging the success of their predecessors, maintaining interest without the hefty marketing budgets that larger films typically require.

GST-related anti-profiteering regime to end in March next year, marking shift towards free pricing

Leela's IPO is a bet that luxury tourism in India is just getting started

Liquor makers in crosshairs over surrogate ads, CCPA calls for punitive action

Are social media influencers equipped to dodge cyber attacks?

The curious case of mid-budget breakout hits

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Friday, April 19, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started:

Markets continued to fall for the third consecutive trading session. Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty both fell by about 0.6 percent.

Markets aren't likely to be any better tomorrow, if the annual results for Infosys are anything to go by. Infosys reported that revenue increased by only 1.4 percent over the previous financial year. FY2025 doesn't look much better either: revenue is likely to grow less than 3 percent. Analysts remain disappointed, write Shouvik Das and Jas Bardia. Marginal increase in revenue, lower profits, and poor future projections: the situation is not kind for Infosys right now

Let's talk about Infy's rival, TCS. India's largest IT company is now assessing in-office attendance as part of its appraisal system. Jas Bardia reports that TCS employees who attended office regularly received much better annual pay hikes than their colleagues who chose to work from home frequently. An executive from TCS told Jas that the IT giant has been nudging its employees to come to office regularly for more than 15 months. That led to a directive in January, where everyone was asked to come to the office all five working days of the week. Those who chose to ignore that notice are now facing the consequences.

In most parts of India, summer came early — and it seems, is here to stay. But the weather department's prediction of a bountiful monsoon season provides some much-needed hope. Of course, the IMD's weather predictions have often been mocked for being wrong. Sayantan Bera explains this year's prediction in his primer. A healthy monsoon would provide relief to India's sluggish farm economy and poor rural consumption. Equal distribution of rains is more important than the quantity of rainfall, Sayantan writes. That would help in reducing food inflation too.

Foxtrot nuts are touted as a healthy alternative for snacks like chips. Now, they are being sold the world over, but closer to home, we might recognise them as makhana . Believe it or not, these white, fun to eat pops actually originate in muddy waters. About one lakh families from Bihar are the only ones engaged in the farming and harvesting of the foxtrot nut, writes Alisha Sachdev. But, makhana could emerge as the next big thing in India's 20 billion dollar snacking industry. Makhana goes up against millets in the health foods category, but is already bigger than the pulse in terms of sales. As more FMCG companies venture into selling makhana, industrial processing might soon propel it in everyone's kitchens as a healthy snack to have with your evening tea.

Baahubali, KGF, and RRR had Indian audiences flocking to a movie theatre to watch vernacular movies. But the filmmakers of these movies chose to dub it in Hindi, English, and other languages, making it an easier sell. However, Manjummel Boys, a Malayalam movie, is now bucking that trend: it recently grossed more than 200 crore rupees. The makers of this movie chose not to dub it in any other language. Manjummel Boys is part of a slew of low-budget movies from southern India that are doing well, despite little or no dubbing, writes Lata Jha. Earlier, such movies rarely got a pan-India release unless they starred huge stars like Rajnikanth or Ram Charan. With the success of these movies, perhaps a good story wins over any language barriers.

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That’s all for today. Thank you for listening.

We'll be back next week with a fresh episode of Top of the Morning. Have a nice weekend!

Show notes:

Infosys projects bleak market to continue this year with paltry growth guidance

Not been regular to the office? Here’s what India’s largest IT company did

The 2024 monsoon forecast has a hidden warning

Made in Bihar: How superfood makhana works its magic

Manjummel Boys sets a new t...