Will Murder Hit Record Lows in 2025? (Ft. Crime Analyst Jeff Asher)

05/19/25 • 48 min

This week, we're talking about some good news. Some very good news, actually.

The murder rate, which has been on the decline for a couple of years now, is on pace to hit a record low. That's what the early data collected by Jeff Asher's AH Datalytics indicates. Asher joins the show to break down the numbers he's seeing so far.

He said the murder rate surged during the pandemic, but it has already fallen back to those levels and kept dropping further.

While the FBI's murder data for 2025 won't be out for nearly a year, Asher collects crime data from many of the same sources. He said his data shows a huge early decline in the murder rate that would equate to an all-time low if sustained. He cautioned that the decline is likely to slow as the year progresses, but it should still hit a record.

Special Guest: Jeff Asher.

This week, we're talking about some good news. Some very good news, actually.

He said the murder rate surged during the pandemic, but it has already fallen back to those levels and kept dropping further.

Special Guest: Jeff Asher.

Previous Episode

The Republican Silencer Tax Fight; ⁨Emily Stanley On Becoming a Gun Meme

Contributing writer Jake Fogleman and I unpack the latest in the growing political fight between gun-rights groups and the House GOP over how much National Firearms Act reform can be included in the President's "big beautiful bill" through budget reconciliation. We also cover recent rulings out of the federal courts, including an en banc Ninth Circuit decision upholding the government's ability to permanently disarm all non-violent felons and a Fourth Circuit ruling ruling the same for those with misdemeanor domestic violence convictions. Emily Stanley, aka Princess and the Pistol, also joins the show to discuss becoming a gun meme.

Special Guest: Emily Stanley.

Next Episode

House Republicans Pass Silencer Deregulation; SCOTUS Rejects Pending Gun Cases

Contributing writer Jake Fogleman and I discuss the ins and outs of the silencer deregulation provisions included in the budget package just passed by the US House. We explain what they would mean for gun owners and what political hurdles still remain before they can become law. We also cover the Supreme Court's latest case decisions, including its recent rejection of a whole host of pending challenges to the federal gun ban for non-violent felons. Finally, we break down the DOJ's recent settlement over forced reset triggers and other gun stories from outside The Reload.