This week’s podcast is about political risk in China tech, but really it is about how to think systematically about the role of the State. And about making investment decisions on uncertain terrains.
You can listen to this podcast here or at iTunes, Google Podcasts and Himalaya.
Here are five investment approaches to uncertain environments.
- Stay out.
- Buy and sell fast.
- Focus on quantitative certainties. Tangible assets.
- Focus on really great businesses. And qualitative factors. Buy and hold through tough times.
- Demand a bigger margin of safety.
How to assess the role of the State and political risk:
- Question 1: Does the State have an active role in this sector?
- If so, don’t go forward until you can understand it. It is one of three key forces.
- If no role, then you can view this with a typical industry approach.
- Question 2: If there is an active role, what are the State’s interests? What is the evidence for this?
- Is it actively supporting?
- Is it against against rapid or significant development?
- Is it just muddy and mixed?
- Ques 3: If it is actively supporting, then ask how this firm is advancing the State’s interests? How is it working with govt? That is the main thing that matters.
About Giants, Dwarves and the State. See my webpage link.
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Related articles:
- What TikTok Can Learn From Huawei About the Role of the State (Jeff’s Asia Tech Class – Podcast 39)
- How Tsingtao, CR Snow and the Other Beer SOEs Won Big in China (Pt 2 of 2)
From the Concept Library, concepts for this article are:
- Role of the State
- Giants, Dwarves and the State
From the Company Library, companies for this article are:
- Philip Fisher
- Ben Graham
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I write and speak about digital China and Asia’s latest tech trends.
I also run Tech Strategy, a podcast and subscription newsletter on the strategies of China / Asia tech companies.
This content (articles, podcasts, website info) is not investment advice. The information and opinions from me and any guests may be incorrect. The numbers and information may be wrong. The views expressed may no longer be relevant or accurate. Investing is risky. Do your own research.
07/26/21 • 43 min
2 Listeners
The Tech Strategy Podcast - How to Assess Political Risk in China Tech (92)
Transcript Summary
In this episode titled "How to Assess Political Risk in China Tech," the host explores the role of the state in China's tech industry and shares strategies for navigating the uncertainties associated with it. By asking three crucial questions about the state's involvement, listeners can gain insights into the potential for rapid growth or potential risks for companies. The episode emphasizes the importance of understanding and analyzing the role of the state in businesses and categorizes industries based on state involvement. Examples of industries where the state plays a significant role are provided, such as telecommunications, media, banking, and education. The host also discusses strategies for dealing with uncertainty, ranging from staying away from uncertain investments to following quantitative or qualitative approaches. As China is a developing economy, the constant changes in consumers, competitors, and technology create a dynamic environment for investors, and understanding political risk becomes essential. With personal anecdotes, travel plans, and upcoming discussions on Ctrip and Food Panda, this episode offers valuable insights for anyone interested in investing in China's tech industry.
Transcript
:
Welcome, welcome everybody. My name is Jeff Towson and this is Asia Tech Strategy. And the topic for today, how to assess political risk in China tech. Now this has been a pretty decent sized issue for the last let's say 9 months, 12 months. But last couple weeks... all over the news and it's all over investors minds as well, which is not the same thing as being important in the news. Definitely a big topic right now. So I thought I would put forward a framework for how to actually take t
How to Assess Political Risk in China Tech (92) Top Questions Answered
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
How can assessing the role of the state help manage uncertainties in investment opportunities in China's tech industry?
For further assistance and information, suggestions are made to reach out to relevant resources, advisors, or government agencies specializing in business and investment in China.
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