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The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

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Did the Fed Just Break the Economy? (9/22/22)

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09/22/22 • 47 min

(9/22/22) It's a Trifecta Thursday with the onset of Autumn and the Death of the Roberts' Duber; the Fed raises rates 75-basis points, as expected, but shocks markets by saying higher rates are here to stay through 2023...unless something occurs to cause a change in stance. The Fed's "good intentions" vs reality; markets are now on the same page. The impact of higher rates on Bonds: TINA, FOMO, & YOLO in the Bond market; the importance of differentiation in bonds; bonds are a function of economic activity & inflation; Dollar strength is relative; what other currencies are doing, and why the Dollar is the Reserve Currency of the world; are we losing the advantage of the Rule of Law? Bank of Japan's intervention. SEG-1: Thursday Trifecta, Fed Rate Hike SEG-2: The Fed's Intentions vs Reality SEG-3: TINE, FOMO, & YOLO and Bonds SEG-4: Why the Dollar is The Reserve Currency of the World Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Could Interest Rates Remain High through 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cicHhGnamI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2464s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Tail Risk and Persistent Inflation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tail-risk-and-persistent-inflation -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #BondInvesting #Inflation #ReserveCurrency #Markets #Money #Investing

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09/16/22 • 47 min

(9/16/22) FedEx's dire predictions are echoing concern of others on the true health of the economy; delivery services are a bellwether of a coming recession. The Fed is in a box; Wal-Mart: If you want deals, we're giving you deals. James Taylor, "Inflation is Dead;" Identifying the Tax Torpedo; the bridge strategy of Tax Torpedo diffusion; when companies get hammered, and the opportunity that's created; America slips in the Global Retirement Index; Lance's Last Chart NFT. SEG-1: What FedEx's Dire Report Means SEG-2: The Tax Torpedo SEG-3: Diffusing the Tax Torpedo SEG-4: When Companies Get Hammered (and create opportunity) Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIXksrKaFUE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2936s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TaxTorpedo #Retirement #FederalReserve #FedEx #WalMart #JamesTaylor #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

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09/22/22 • 2 min

(9/22/22) The Fed jacked rates up 75-basis points, as expected, and held out the possibility of at least two more rate hikes this year. The thing that shocked markets was the implication by Jerome Powell that higher rates would be here to stay throughout 2023, barring a recession or credit-related event that might cause the Fed to reverse policy. Markets in response sold off, taking out lows established back in May, an important support level we've been watching. As sentiment sours, and markets sell-off, conditions are ripening for a counter-trend rally. The 20-MDA has crossed over the 50-DMA, so any rally back towards 4,000 on the S&P would appear to be a good exit point for investors to trim risk and raise cash. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMCMeeting #JeromePowell #InterestRateHikes #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

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09/23/22 • 47 min

(9/24/22) Markets did not respond well to Jerome Powell's statements following this week's FOMC meeting and rate hike. The question now is how far the Fed will go in its inflation fight. What does going long on Treasuries by Institutional investors tell us now? ESG underperformance is causing headaches for Calpers; what happens when political agendas run afoul of investing agendas. Study: Companies with high value also tend to have high carbon footprints. Jamie Dimon's 180 on Cryptocurrency: Decentralized Ponzi Scheme. The importance of Money Scripting in raising money smart kids: Save, Share, Spend. Investing with the Beave: That time Ward taught Wally & Beaver about investing, and that rascal, Eddie Haskell. Linking investments to real-life; Custodial Roth IRA's. SEG-1: How Far will Powell Go? SEG-2: ESG Performance: What Happens When Social Agendas Collide w Investing Agenda SEG-3: Raising Money Smart Kids - The Problem w One-click Purchases SEG-4: Investing with The Beave Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RTm7h9sVbYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2523s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Break the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #FOMC #BondInvesting #Inflation #MoneyScript #LeaveItToBeaver #Markets #Money #Investing

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09/21/22 • 2 min

(9/21/22) The Fed is expected today to raise interest rates by 75-basis points, but the real headline will come from the statement that's issued after the meeting is over: Will Jerome Powell reiterate his hawkish claims from Jackson Hole, or will he backpedal? That news will drive markets into the afternoon. As the Fed continues its rate hike campaign, Treasuries are responding in kind, and at this point, Bonds are cheaper relative to stocks. (A history of rate hikes is given here.) As rates rise, there is a shift from risk (assets) into less-risky instruments (bonds). Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QUp-riVZOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMCMeeting #JeromePowell #JuffGundlach #InterestRateHikes #Inflation #SlowerEconomicGrowth #Markets #Money #Investing

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August Was Hotter Than Expected (9/13/22)

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09/13/22 • 3 min

(9/13/22) The CPI print for August came in at 8.3%, hotter than anticipated. The big question now is whether we've seen the peak of inflation? With markets now solely-dependent upon what the Fed does, rather than on fundamentals, a 75-basis point hike later this month is pretty much a lock. In fact, expectations are for the Fed to go up to 4 to 4.5% on the Fed funds rate. Slower economic growth, slower earnings growth, and higher unemployment are the triggers that will cause the Fed to pause, if not begin to reverse rates. There is a disconnect between markets and what's happening in the economy. Only when the economy worsens will the Fed resort to measures opposite its current stance. [NOTE: This report was recorded prior to today's CPI release.] Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCEwcUlPicw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPIReport #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing
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09/13/22 • 47 min

(9/13/22) All eyes are on today's CPI Report (clocking-in at 8.3% Inflation) and its effects on the economy: What are the numbers within the number, and why does it matter? What will be the Fed's response, and what will it take for the Fed to ease up on rate hikes? The dichotomy of views among Bears vs Bulls: the problem of timing and duration; after 3 Bull Markets, why are 80% of Americans still broke? The White Multi-millionaire Minority. Dealing with short-term market-cycles, and thinking ahead of the Fed: What's the best strategy for Recession? Markets FOMO on potential Fed pivot; trade the market for what it is, not what we wish it was. CPI Preview: Too hot not good for stocks: Fed will continue rate hikes. Has the deficit really been reduced as claimed? SEG-1: The Numbers Within the CPI Number SEG-2: The Dichotomy of Bearish & Bullish Views SEG-3: Thinking Ahead of the Fed SEG-4: CPI Preview; Has the Deficit Been Reduced, as Claimed? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXvSzlIiwCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: August Hotter Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCEwcUlPicw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The "Cash on the Sideline" Myth" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bICNrkKrAF8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2742s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Five for Friday: Staples Worth Following" https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-staples-worth-following [NOTE: SimpleVisor registration required] "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
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Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel? (9/15/22)

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09/15/22 • 4 min

(9/15/22) The Markets' big 4% drop in markets on news August CPI was 8.3% was the follow up to Monday's 90% upside day and the "bullish upthrust" in the market. The resulting 90% down day completely reversed markets' gains, but markets were able to hold on to the rising trendline of higher lows. Futures are weak this morning, so a test of support at last week's lows will be important today. Add to the mix next week's FOMC meeting, and the small possibility of a 1% rate hike. More important will be what the Fed says about inflation, and whether or not the rate hikes may continue. Volatility remains compressed, but there does not seem to be much concern about a potential market crash. Much of the Energy over-bought condition has been worked off, and oil prices now have the potential to rally up into the $90-$95/bbl range, especially if President Biden decides to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, pulling product off the market. The Ten-year Treasury rate has also been on the rise, thanks to inflation concerns and what the Fed has been saying. Bonds are now over-bought by three standard deviations. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #CrudeOil #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing
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The True Cost of Aging Exposed (9/9/22)

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09/09/22 • 47 min

(9/9/22) Why Meghan cannot be Queen; The Janet Yellen Economic Roadshow: taxes must return to "norms;" inflation and the "Fair" economy; energy diversification; Brookings Institute: Unemployment must go higher. Understanding the US economy in COVID; Janet Yellen's EV's; the fiscal fight; why having cash is not a bad thing; market preview: Gerber Insurance; The Elder Index & cost of Aging; demographics and changes to work habits; the importance of good health in retirement; living single in retirement; The Viral Queen; FAFSA preview; "It's Complicated" financial dust bunnies; your end of life plan for your pets; pet trusts. SEG-1: Janet Yellen on Taxes, Inflation, & "Fair" Economy SEG-2: Understanding the US Economy in COVID SEG-3: Market Preview; The True Cost of Aging SEG-4: End of Life Planning for Pets RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hlIlJKC7WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2756s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Death Cross & Oil Prices" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Currency Swap Line" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ex09Bn_9UD4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2643s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #QueenElizabeth #JanetYellen #CostOfAging #Inflation #ElderIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
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Financial Media Goes Nuts Over CPI (9/14/22)

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09/14/22 • 4 min

(9/14/22) August CPI clocks-in at a hotter-than-expected 8.3%, and the financial media goes nuts, claiming yesterday's sell-off as "markets in turmoil." The reality was, yes, a big 4% sell-off, but a one-day drop that can only be compared to pre-pandemic market action in June of 2020. But more importantly, markets were able to uphold the bullish, rising trend line that has been building for the past few months. That trend will be tested today. The MACD buy-signal was not triggered yesterday, however, keeping downward pressure on the markets. And, despite the sharp sell-off, market volatility remains very muted. There really is no panic or fear in the markets, nor are there outflows of funds; this was not a big catalyst. There certainly are concerns for the future, including the Fed's next rate increase, and the fear the Fed will go too far and break something in the economy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qW7paPBP1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing
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FAQ

How many episodes does The Real Investment Show Podcast have?

The Real Investment Show Podcast currently has 2003 episodes available.

What topics does The Real Investment Show Podcast cover?

The podcast is about Economics, Finance, Trading, News, Investing and Business News.

What is the most popular episode on The Real Investment Show Podcast?

The episode title 'Did the Fed Just Break the Economy? (9/22/22)' is the most popular with 1 listens and 1 ratings.

What is the average episode length on The Real Investment Show Podcast?

The average episode length on The Real Investment Show Podcast is 25 minutes.

How often are episodes of The Real Investment Show Podcast released?

Episodes of The Real Investment Show Podcast are typically released every 17 hours.

When was the first episode of The Real Investment Show Podcast?

The first episode of The Real Investment Show Podcast was released on Oct 20, 2017.

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