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The Bid - 217: How Does This Cycle of Tariff Market Volatility Compare to Historical Periods of Market Uncertainty? [April 23rd]

217: How Does This Cycle of Tariff Market Volatility Compare to Historical Periods of Market Uncertainty? [April 23rd]

04/23/25 • 18 min

The Bid

Global markets have been experiencing extraordinary volatility in response to the U.S. tariff pause announced on April 9th, a reflection of the uncertainty surrounding the economic and policy outlook. But similar to other unprecedented market moments in history, the investment strategies that work today may not apply tomorrow. So how can investors adapt their investment approach, when the familiar economic rulebook is thrown out?

Rich Mathieson, a senior portfolio manager within the Systematic Active Equities team, a quantitative investment group at BlackRock will take us through some of the pivotal moments in history where uncertainty was a catalyst for transformation in the insights and strategies used by investors. He’ll share how that’s playing out in markets today, including how he is using data and techniques that can help investors cut through the headline noise.

This episode was recorded on April 22nd and published April 23rd.

Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68Q

Key moments in this episode:

00:00 Introduction to Market Volatility and Impact of Tariff Policies

02:41 Unique Features of Current Market

06:29 Artificial Intelligence in Investing

08:14 Analyzing Trade Tensions

11:05 Current Market Environment

13:51 Investment Opportunities

15:43 Portfolio Construction Insights

17:20 Conclusion and Next Episode Preview

Sources: “Stocks Advance as Nvidia Closes at All-Time High: Markets Wrap”, Bloomberg January 2025; “Investors haven’t been this bearish in 30 years” Blooomberg, April 2025; “Is This The Brink Of The Recession We Have Yet To Have?” Bloomberg, April 2025; BlackRock Systematic, as of April 22, 2025. Comment references momentum and crowding signals; Bloomberg data for MSCI World Index performance, referencing performance during the month of April 2025; “As tariffs roil the markets, here's why some sectors are faring worse than others”, CBC News April 2025; “The Magnificent 7's lousy year, by the numbers”, CNBC, April 2025; Bloomberg, performance of S&P 500 Index for 2023 and 2024

🔗 Learn More About BlackRock: https://1blk.co/41uwhDS

🔗 Watch and Subscribe to The Bid on YouTube: https://1blk.co/48iHOs4

🔗 Follow Us on LinkedIn: https://1blk.co/3v09q6Q

🔗 Follow Us on Twitter (or X): https://1blk.co/3NuiIOW

Important Notice: This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not ...

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Global markets have been experiencing extraordinary volatility in response to the U.S. tariff pause announced on April 9th, a reflection of the uncertainty surrounding the economic and policy outlook. But similar to other unprecedented market moments in history, the investment strategies that work today may not apply tomorrow. So how can investors adapt their investment approach, when the familiar economic rulebook is thrown out?

Rich Mathieson, a senior portfolio manager within the Systematic Active Equities team, a quantitative investment group at BlackRock will take us through some of the pivotal moments in history where uncertainty was a catalyst for transformation in the insights and strategies used by investors. He’ll share how that’s playing out in markets today, including how he is using data and techniques that can help investors cut through the headline noise.

This episode was recorded on April 22nd and published April 23rd.

Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68Q

Key moments in this episode:

00:00 Introduction to Market Volatility and Impact of Tariff Policies

02:41 Unique Features of Current Market

06:29 Artificial Intelligence in Investing

08:14 Analyzing Trade Tensions

11:05 Current Market Environment

13:51 Investment Opportunities

15:43 Portfolio Construction Insights

17:20 Conclusion and Next Episode Preview

Sources: “Stocks Advance as Nvidia Closes at All-Time High: Markets Wrap”, Bloomberg January 2025; “Investors haven’t been this bearish in 30 years” Blooomberg, April 2025; “Is This The Brink Of The Recession We Have Yet To Have?” Bloomberg, April 2025; BlackRock Systematic, as of April 22, 2025. Comment references momentum and crowding signals; Bloomberg data for MSCI World Index performance, referencing performance during the month of April 2025; “As tariffs roil the markets, here's why some sectors are faring worse than others”, CBC News April 2025; “The Magnificent 7's lousy year, by the numbers”, CNBC, April 2025; Bloomberg, performance of S&P 500 Index for 2023 and 2024

🔗 Learn More About BlackRock: https://1blk.co/41uwhDS

🔗 Watch and Subscribe to The Bid on YouTube: https://1blk.co/48iHOs4

🔗 Follow Us on LinkedIn: https://1blk.co/3v09q6Q

🔗 Follow Us on Twitter (or X): https://1blk.co/3NuiIOW

Important Notice: This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not ...

Previous Episode

undefined - 216: The 90-Day U.S. Tariff Pause -  How Should Investors Respond Right Now? [April 15th]

216: The 90-Day U.S. Tariff Pause - How Should Investors Respond Right Now? [April 15th]

On April 9th, the U.S. administration announced a 90-day tariff pause on country-specific reciprocal tariffs, exempting key tech imports while maintaining high tariffs on select Chinese goods. This decision introduced extraordinary volatility to global markets. Notably, the S&P 500 rebounded nearly 6% last week, marking one of its largest daily jumps in history. Meanwhile, long-term U.S. Treasury yields spiked, reflecting investors' altered risk perceptions in light of the tariff adjustments. At the same time, the U.S. dollar tumbled to three-year lows against major currencies, highlighting concerns about future currency valuations in these tumultuous times. But the question remains, how should investors respond when considering the implications of prolonged uncertainty, including potential recession risks, impacts on corporate investment, and consumer spending?

In this episode of The Bid, Oscar Pulido is joined by Alex Brazier, Global Head of Investment & Portfolio Solutions and Helen Jewell, Chief Investment Officer for EMEA at BlackRock. Alex and Helen will help us unpack the details of this tariff pause, its effects on market dynamics, and provide strategic insights for investors considering how to navigate volatile markets.

NOTE: This episode was recorded and published on April 15th 2025

Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68Q

Key moments:

00:00 Introduction to the Tariff Pause, Market Reactions and Volatility

02:45 Discuss Historic Market Movements

06:48 Equity Market Reactions

09:13 Portfolio Strategies in Uncertain Times

12:20 Investor Questions

14:12 Looking Ahead: What Are Experts Looking For?

18:46 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures

Tariff pause, us tariff pause, The Bid, The Bid Investing podcast, Tariff War, Tariff Relief, Investing Insights, Tariffs and Economy, Tariff, Tariffs

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Next Episode

undefined - 218: Geopolitical Shifts, Trade Dynamics and President Trump's First 100 Days in Office [April 29th]

218: Geopolitical Shifts, Trade Dynamics and President Trump's First 100 Days in Office [April 29th]

The geopolitical landscape in 2025 has seen significant shifts and developments. President Trump's second term has ushered in a new era of international relations, characterized by bold policy changes and strategic maneuvers. The implementation of new tariffs has reshaped global trade dynamics, raising concerns about broader economic implications. As we navigate these complex geopolitical changes, investors are asking how these developments will impact international trade, economic relations, and market stability.

Catherine Kress, Head of Geopolitical Research and Strategy at BlackRock, provides an update on the current status of tariffs globally, we’ll discuss the key developments investors should be watching, and how they might impact international trade and economic relations. We'll also examine geopolitics in President Trump's first 100 days in office, other major stories on the horizon and how they could evolve in ways that impact investors.

This episode was recorded on April 28th and published on April 29th.

Check out the full series covering tariffs and market volatility on The Bid: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/3iiZbbNz3eI08zXGZ4n3LI?si=TNiOrYRoSxyXVsbwsBs68Q

Key moments in this episode:

00:00 Introduction to Geopolitical Shifts in 2025

00:40 Impact of US Tariffs on Global Trade

02:20 Geopolitical Landscape Under Trump's Administration

04:20 Global Fragmentation and Rising Tensions

07:06 US-China Trade Conflict and Technology Competition

15:22 US-Europe Relations and Tensions

17:41 Conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East

21:47 Investment Strategies Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty

23:30 Conclusion and Upcoming Episodes

🔗 Learn More About BlackRock: https://1blk.co/41uwhDS

🔗 Watch and Subscribe to The Bid on YouTube: https://1blk.co/48iHOs4

🔗 Follow Us on LinkedIn: https://1blk.co/3v09q6Q

🔗 Follow Us on Twitter (or X): https://1blk.co/3NuiIOW

Important notice: This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to

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