Is Bitcoin Decoupling from Stocks?

Explicit content warning

04/04/25 • 60 min

This week’s Swan Signal Live unpacks a major market anomaly: on a day when the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and gold all dropped sharply, Bitcoin stayed strong—even ticking up. The team explores whether we’re witnessing the early stages of a true decoupling, as more voices from TradFi, including Joe Weisenthal and Larry Fink, acknowledge Bitcoin’s resilience.

They also dive into Trump’s new tariff strategy, branded “Liberation Day,” raising questions about trade math, inflation, and how tariffs could play into broader economic negotiations. While some call the plan misguided, the crew sees it as a blunt but intentional negotiation tactic—one that may pair with interest rate cuts to boost markets before the midterms.

The show also calls out Galaxy Digital’s shady Terra Luna dealings, with Novogratz dumping $100M worth of Luna while publicly promoting it. It’s a clear reminder of why Swan stays Bitcoin only—to protect investors from altcoin pump-and-dumps.

On Jack Dorsey’s claim that Bitcoin will “fail” if it doesn’t become a medium of exchange, the team pushes back. Bitcoin is following a natural monetary evolution: first a collectible, then a store of value, and eventually, a medium of exchange—driven not by consumers, but businesses who want to be paid in Bitcoin.

Finally, they react to Tom Lee’s $150K BTC prediction by year-end. Some see it as a floor, not a ceiling—especially if the U.S. adopts the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act.

Start buying your first Bitcoin in just minutes. Search "Swan Bitcoin" in your app store or visit swan.com/app.

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Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Finally, they react to Tom Lee’s $150K BTC prediction by year-end. Some see it as a floor, not a ceiling—especially if the U.S. adopts the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Act.

Start buying your first Bitcoin in just minutes. Search "Swan Bitcoin" in your app store or visit swan.com/app.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.

Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.

Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Previous Episode

The Corporate Bitcoin Race is Heating Up!

In this power-packed Swan Signal Live episode, the team unpacks one of the most explosive corporate Bitcoin developments since MicroStrategy: GameStop’s $1.3 billion raise—possibly growing to $1.5B—for “general corporate purposes”... and potentially Bitcoin.

Ben Workman breaks down why this move makes strategic sense and how GameStop could become the second-largest public holder of BTC, right behind MicroStrategy. The crew explores what this means for corporate adoption, meme stock mania colliding with Bitcoin, and the critical importance of “showing, not telling” when it comes to deploying capital.

Key themes include:

The macro impact of corporate treasury adoption, especially if GME commits fully.
Why retail investor overlap between Bitcoin and GME could amplify the movement.
Lessons from MicroStrategy’s playbook: leverage, conviction, and media transparency.
The psychological and market hurdles still to clear—skepticism remains until GME acts.
Why the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve is still in the “show me” phase—and why that might not last long.
Sober thoughts on youth disillusionment, inflation, and why Bitcoin remains a beacon of hope.

Start buying your first Bitcoin in just minutes. Search "Swan Bitcoin" in your app store or visit swan.com/app.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.

Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.

Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Next Episode

Trade War Panic!

In this episode, the Swan team dives into the week’s tumultuous markets, triggered by escalating tariff tensions between the US and China. With sweeping tariff announcements initially roiling equities, a sudden pivot by the administration briefly stabilized stock prices—yet concerns remain about stress in market “plumbing,” particularly negative swap spreads and rising bond yields. The discussion highlights how quickly financial conditions can shift, forcing the Federal Reserve’s hand toward potential liquidity measures or yield curve control.

On the Bitcoin front, the hosts note that BTC’s performance has diverged notably from equities and other risk assets, signaling that institutional involvement—and global macro uncertainty—may be ushering in a new era for Bitcoin. They also explore rumors of Russia and China conducting energy trades in BTC, plus the potential of a US “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” as nation-states weigh the benefits of a neutral reserve asset.

Start buying your first Bitcoin in just minutes. Search "Swan Bitcoin" in your app store or visit swan.com/app.

Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private.

Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.

Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.