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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong

Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

06/27/24 • 43 min

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This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria unveil Nate’s 2024 election model. (The forecast is bad news for Maria.) Also, they explain what insurance industry troubles tell us about the market for risk. And they discuss some key mistakes people make when thinking about risk.

Further Reading:

“Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast” by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

“Climate Change Has Hit Home Insurance. Is Health Insurance Next?” from the Wall Street Journal

“The Home Insurance Crunch: See What’s Happening in Your State” from the New York Times

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Explicit content warning

06/27/24 • 43 min

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong

Transcript

Speaker 1

Pushkin. Welcome back to Risky Business, a show about making better decisions. I'm Maria Kanakova.

Speaker 2

And I'm Nate Silvery. Today on the show, we'll talk about my new presidential election forecast.

Speaker 1

Well also talk about insurance. Although Nate, I'm really excited to hear about your election forecasts.

Speaker 2

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