Will Home Prices Keep Rising? CoreLogic’s Frank Nothaft Has a Few Answers (Audio)

Will home prices continue to rise at this furious pace, or will they plummet back to earth like they did during the housing meltdown? Or maybe something in the middle? In this episode, we’ll hear from an expert on the housing market, the impact of the pandemic on buyer demand, home prices and migration patterns, and what the data shows us about the future.

Dr. Frank Nothaft is the chief economist for CoreLogic and leads an economics team that’s responsible for analysis, commentary and forecasting for the global real estate, insurance, and mortgage markets. The Southern California-based company tracks, gathers, and analyzes massive amounts of property, financial, and consumer data and provides reports for the real estate and mortgage industry along with customized business intelligence reports for clients.

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Transcript:

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Speaker 1: You're listening to the Real Wealth Show with Kathy Fettke, the real estate investors' resource.

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Kathy: Will home prices continue to rise at this furious pace, or do we have a housing crash in our future or just a slowdown in price growth? Our guest today has got a lot of information on that so I'm excited to share it with you. I'm Kathy Fettke and welcome to the Real Wealth Show. Frank Nothaft holds the position of executive, chief economist for CoreLogic. He leads the office of the chief economist and is responsible for analysis, commentary, and forecasting trends in global real estate insurance and mortgage markets. He's here with us today on the Real Wealth Show. Frank, welcome to the Real Wealth Show.

I've been really looking forward to this interview. I can't believe that I almost had to do it out of a salon when we had a rolling blackout, [laughs] but here we are. Thanks for your patience.

Frank: Oh, absolutely. Thanks for having me today, Kathy.

Kathy: So honored really, truly so honored to have you here. A lot of people are extremely confused about what's going on and even more confused about what they should do. Should they buy? Should they sell? Should they buy investment property, apartments, single-family? Our listeners are mainly investors in one to four-unit buildings nationwide. Are we looking at a continuation of what we've been seeing with home prices going up with no end in sight? What's happening?

Frank: Kathy, this summer has been hot. It's not just the temperatures, it's the housing market as well. As you know, when I look around the country, there are a number of markets where, of course, they have triple-digit temperatures, but they got double-digit home price growth and double-digit rent growth. The market is just exceptional right now. Of course, partly that's fueled by the very low [00:02:00] record low level of mortgage rates that's really driving demand. It's also fueled by a shortage of inventory for sale on the marketplace. Between both those forces, one driving up demand one curtailing supply, we've got just a crazy amount of home price growth.

Now, it's not just home price growth. As I mentioned, we see some real pickup in rents, rents on single-family homes. I think that's an artifact of this change in need for space as a result of the pandemic because what we've seen is that so many families, they're looking for more space inside their home, and also more space outside their home. The corollary of this pandemic is that it's severed the need of many workers to be co-located or located near where their employer is, they can work remotely. That's enabled many of them to pick up and maybe move a little further out, or move a lot further out, and be able to afford more space, more house, more shelter to either buy or to rent.

Kathy: They don't have to try to find something in a major city or just on the outskirts of a major city where everybody else wants to live and it's been difficult to get in and very expensive, they can go anywhere. That's amazing. We've understood this concept at R...