Eurizon SLJ Capital

The Long & Short of the Week Ahead: Key Market Analysis

In this production by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones, Head of Distribution, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, discuss the macro-economic themes for the week ahead relevant to professional investors. Key highlights include November's European inflation trends, data and policy trends for December, with focused attention on Europe, Asia, and the U.S. They discuss the rate repricing in Europe, Asian markets' reaction to the Resilient Banking Authority's action, and the importance of U.S. rate markets. They continue their attention to job creation trends, labor supply improvements, and potential shifts in the unemployment rate. The discussion concludes with anticipations for the next week's developments, with each region possessing unique risks and opportunities.

00:05 Introduction and Welcome
00:35 Review of the Previous Week
01:22 Focus on Europe: Economic Trends and Predictions
02:19 Asia's Economic Outlook: Central Bank Actions and Market Trends
03:13 US Market Focus: Fed Chair Speech and Job Market Analysis
04:27 Weekend Sports Highlights
05:07 Closing Remarks and Future Outlook
Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, outlines his thoughts in the Long & Short of the Week Ahead. Recorded on the 24th November 2023. Hosted by Matt Jones, Head of Distribution.
Please do email any questions or comments to [email protected]
Links
Find more Eurizon SLJ insights and content at www.eurizonsljcapital.com/insights
Views accurate as at the time of publication. Opinions expressed by the speakers are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Eurizon SLJ Capital Limited, Eurizon Capital SGR or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

An audio extract from our Macro Monthly Newsletter. This month we explore three themes for the month ahead:

• Pit stop, not full stop on US and USD outperformance.
• US equities will continue to shine.
• RMB bonds could be one of the best-performing assets in 2022.

A production of Eurizon SLJ Capital that outlines our market views for month ahead. This is an extract from our monthly newsletter, which can be subscribed to via the link below or email us. This episode has been recorded for professional investors. The content was written on 3rd February 2022.
Please do email any questions or comments to [email protected]
Links
Find more Eurizon SLJ insights and content at www.eurizonsljcapital.com/insights
Views accurate as at the time of publication. Opinions expressed by the speakers are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Eurizon SLJ Capital Limited, Eurizon Capital SGR or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. Content. Information in this recording does not constitute an offer to buy, sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy or sell securities and/or any derivatives.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

Hosts Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss of a range of macroeconomic themes for the upcoming week. They review last week's significant data events and reflect on the dovish commentary by both the Fed and the Bank of England. The hosts anticipate the RBA's economic outlook and plan to observe revisions to global growth and inflation by the OECD. They also discuss the data for the forthcoming week and the prints for the upcoming week, including the Eurozone Sentix, American ISM services and China's CPI, and PPI.
00:08 Introduction and Welcome
00:33 Reflections on the Previous Week's Data
00:49 Insights into the Federal Reserve and Bank of England's Policies
02:07 Impacts on Equities and Rates
02:24 Focus for the Week Ahead
03:20 Upcoming Data and Market Indicators
04:26 Sports Highlights for the Weekend
05:13 Closing Remarks and Goodbyes
06:09 Disclaimer and Legal Information

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short Forward Curve' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones discusses the implications of the upcoming FOMC meeting on March 17, 2025. While immediate action from the Fed is not anticipated, the focus will be on the updated economic projections, which will reflect the Fed's stance on tariffs, geopolitical risks, and equity market fragility. The episode highlights the growing tension between market expectations of fiscal expansion and the Trump administration's commitment to fiscal consolidation. Technical insights, such as the fiscal r-star and the dot plot, provide crucial signals for professional investors about future interest rate adjustments and their impact on global markets.
00:00 Introduction to the Long and Short Forward Curve
00:31 This Week's FOMC Meeting: What to Expect
00:48 Key Insights from Neil Staines
01:16 The Macro Setup: Complex, Political, and Volatile
02:18 Fiscal vs Monetary Policy Divergence
03:24 Equities and the Fed's Response
04:05 Watch the Dot Plot, Not the Rate Decision
04:49 Disclaimer and Legal Information

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Eurizon SLJ Capital offers a comprehensive outlook on the week ahead for professional investors, focusing on key macroeconomic themes.
Matt Jones, Head of Distribution, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, discuss various pivotal economic indicators and meetings poised to impact global markets, with a particular emphasis on the UK's financial landscape.
They highlight the UK's employment report, CPI print, retail sales data, and the implications of Governor Bailey's upcoming speeches on the trajectory of UK interest rates.
The dialogue also explores the U.S. economic outlook, particularly in response to recent CPI data and its potential effects on the Federal Reserve's mandate, retail sales, and Q1 earnings reports.
Additionally, the episode covers significant economic developments in China and Germany, alongside an anticipation of the updated IMF World Economic Outlook.

00:00 Introduction to the Week Ahead

00:30 Focus on the UK: Economic Indicators and Rate Expectations

02:04 US Economic Outlook: Inflation, Growth, and Fed's Mandate

03:38 Global Economic Events: From Earnings to IMF Outlook

05:43 Closing Remarks and Future Insights

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.