Week 2 Season-Long Rankings Changes with ETR's Mark Dankenbring

Explicit content warning

09/23/21 • 48 min

Mike Leone and Mark Dankenbring of Establish The Run discuss changes to the ETR staff top 150 rest of season. Conversation includes:
-Why Tyreek Hill is the WR1
-Should we be worried about Kamara, Zeke, and other early RBs
-Cooper Kupp's early season breakout
-Disappointing play calling in Cincinnati
-Being patient with Atlanta players
-How to handle young players going in different directions: Rondale Moore and Brandon Aiyuk
And so much more.
For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Previous Episode

Week 1 Reactions with Ben Gretch

Mike Leone and Ben Gretch dive into some of the more interesting Week 1 observations as far as team play calling and success and individual usage.
-Will ATL and TEN bounce back?
-Wheel's Up for Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb
-Is CIN low pass rate worrisome despite their success?
-Lot of optimism around the Chargers
-David Njoku, CLE TE1?
-Encouraging W1 usage for a handful of backs: Darrell Henderson, Najee Harris, Jonathan Taylor, and D'Andre Swift
You can check out Ben's work at bengretch.substack.com.
For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/

Next Episode

Eliminating Noise and Using Patience to Win DFS Tournaments

Mike Leone goes solo this week, waxing philosophically over how we can apply Daniel Kahneman's new book, Noise, to NFL DFS. Mike outlines:
-why simple models beat human beings at prediction
-the danger of the "illusion of validity"
-how human judgement improves the information we feed the Establish the Run projections
-why we should trust those projections and not be variable or too active in tweaking our judgements on particular cases
-in other words: try to treat decisions based on player ceiling, projected value and field exposure, and correlation - no on how a player makes us feel
-getting outsized rewards for our patience in tournaments
-targeting slow starters with high ceilings like George Kittle and AJ Brown
-knowing when not to be patient and to adjust our priors quickly
For a limited time, ETE listeners can receive 5% off of any Establish the Run premium package by using promo code "ETE": https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/