2023 Midyear Outlook

07/19/23 • 16 min

Will we or won’t we enter a recession in 2023? We share our economic and market forecasts for the rest of the year in a new episode of the Conversations with Commerce Trust podcast, hosted by Chief Investment Officer David Hagee.

Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts

Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts

Previous Episode

What the yield curve inversion tells us

One of the most reliable indicators of economic forecasting is the yield curve. It is a perfect 10 for 10: every recession since 1955 has been preceded by an inversion. Currently the yields of the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bills have been inverted for 11 months. Is a recession looming in the near term, and if so, how severe will it be? We discuss the yield curve inversion in our latest episode of Conversations with Commerce Trust. We also encourage you to download our companion piece to the podcast, examining what makes this yield curve inversion unique.

Lastly, Chief Investment Officer David Hagee provides an overview on the debt ceiling standstill and what’s at stake should the U.S. default on its debt obligations.

Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts

Next Episode

Women in Investing

Over the past 25 years, women’s attitudes on investing have evolved considerably. In a new episode of the Conversations with Commerce Trust podcast, host and Chief Investment Officer David Hagee welcomes Cathy Arshadi, Director of Financial Management for Commerce Trust, to discuss the role of women in investing, including how women investors tend to outperform their male counterparts and where room for improvement remains. We also encourage you to check out our companion piece, which examines investing from a woman’s perspective.

Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts