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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg - E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more

E80: Recession deep dive: VC psychology, macro risks, Tiger Global, predictions and more

Explicit content warning

05/13/22 • 101 min

10 Listeners

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros!

4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons

31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds

41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn

58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at

1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses

1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976

https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm

https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672

https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624

https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064

https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com

https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/

https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568

https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/

https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

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0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros!

4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons

31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds

41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn

58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at

1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses

1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976

https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm

https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm

https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/musk-seeks-to-scrap-tesla-margin-loan-with-new-twitter-funding

https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART

https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672

https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624

https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064

https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com

https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund/

https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568

https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/

https://twitter.com/Airbnb/status/1524379284260892674

Previous Episode

undefined - E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein

E79: Analyzing the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade with Amy Howe and Tom Goldstein

0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade

28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade

43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices?

1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward

Follow Amy and Tom:

https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger

https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft

https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf

https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates

https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf

https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292

https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330

https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf

https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx

https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx

Next Episode

undefined - E69: Elon Musk on Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories, Giga Texas & more

E69: Elon Musk on Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories, Giga Texas & more

1 Recommendations

0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit!

0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration

13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company

21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter

30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories

39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar

56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes

1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

https://twitter.com/elonmusk

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffec

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