The Macro Trading Floor

On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the recent economic data releases and the growth slowdown they are signalling. We then explore the chances of a Fed pause/pivot. Have the probabilities increased since the recent turmoil in the banking system has given the Fed more cover to reign in their hawkish stance? Finally, Alfonso & Andreas share their actionable trade ideas, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://www.themacrocompass.com/ Subscribe To Steno Research: https://stenoresearch.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

A last, fascinating tour across global macro asset classes before Alf and Andreas switch the lights off for a while. Want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with Andreas through the brand new macro podcast called ‘Macro Sunday’ as well as through his research platform at www.stenoresearch.com, where you can currently get a 30% discount with the code ‘macro30’. Also remember to follow Andreas at @andreassteno on Twitter. Going to miss Alf’s views on TMTF? No worries! Alf offers a bespoke service for institutional investors where he provides dedicated research and trade ideas leveraging on his experience running money and having been in your seat before (all also available in podcast/audio format like TMTF!) - send us an email at [email protected] to discuss a deal! If you are not an institutional investor and you think you'll miss Alf’s analysis on TMTF, his timely macro strategy pieces and trade ideas are available also in podcast format on TheMacroCompass.com - check it out!

In this episode, Alf and Andreas discuss the decisions from the Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan. In a few episodes, The Macro Trading Floor is about to stop for a while: want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with Andreas through the brand new macro podcast called ‘Macro Sunday’ as well as through his research platform at www.stenoresearch.com, where you can currently get a 30% discount with the code ‘macro30’. Also remember to follow Andreas at @andreassteno on Twitter. Going to miss Alf’s views on TMTF? No worries! Alf offers a bespoke service for institutional investors where he provides dedicated research and trade ideas leveraging on his experience running money and having been in your seat before (all also available in podcast/audio format like TMTF!) - send us an email at [email protected] to discuss a deal! If you are not an institutional investor and you think you'll miss Alf’s analysis on TMTF, his timely macro strategy pieces and trade ideas are available also in podcast format on TheMacroCompass.com - check it out!

On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome Kevin Flanagan Head of Fixed Income Strategy at WisdomTree for a discussion on everything happening in global bond markets. Since 2022, the consensus has flip flopped from recession, to soft landing as markets have rallied, the labor market has remained strong, credit has been fairly contained and signs of financial stress dwindle. Kevin, Alfonso and Andreas walk through the scenarios in 2023 of recession, soft landing or higher for longer? Finally, Kevin shares his actionable trade idea, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Kevin: https://twitter.com/KevinFlanaganWT Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://www.themacrocompass.com/ Subscribe To Steno Research: https://stenoresearch.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_mac..., you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- WisdomTree is a global ETF and ETP sponsor and asset manager founded in 2006 and with a track record of innovation and creating better ways to invest. Today, we offer a broad range of differentiated ETFs and ETPs across equities, thematics, commodities, fixed income, currencies, short and leveraged, and cryptocurrencies with over $80 billion in assets under management. For more information, please visit https://bit.ly/3VXYPkx -- Referenced In The Show: Fed official says he looks at the price of Stouffer's frozen lasagna to gauge inflation: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-official-price-of-stouffers-frozen-lasagna-to-gauge-inflaiton-2023-2?op=1 Big flows going on in options: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf/status/1623736233477144577 German GDP: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Press/2023/01/PE23_037_811.html -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:41) A New Governor For The BoJ? (03:02) Recession, Soft Landing or Higher For Longer? (12:40) Feature Interview With Kevin Flanagan (14:23) Will The Fed Get Their Soft Landing? (17:11) What Is The Yield Curve Signalling? (23:25) Curve Ad (24:35) The Path Ahead For Inflation In 2023 (27:37) The Yield Curve Is Signalling Recession... But When? (34:07) Wisdom Tree Ad (34:40) Kevin's Actionable Trade Idea (38:51) The U.S Debt Ceiling (43:05) Post Interview: Final Thoughts (47:39) Retail Is Back Partying Like It's 2021 (48:56) Actionable Trade Ideas -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Raoul Pal CEO & Co-Founder, Real Vision & Global Macro Investor to the show for a discussion on debt, demographics and deflationary pressures. Raoul discusses some of the structural deflationary forces that lie ahead for markets. How will these forces effect markets as the Fed, and central banks globally, progress through their fastest tightening cycle in recent history. How are rising rates & high inflation changing asset allocation in this period? Finally, Raoul shares his actionable trade idea, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- This episode is sponsored by Saxo Bank. Saxo Bank offers unparalleled market coverage across fiat, crypto and metals. Moreover, they provide free currency subaccounts and competitive interest rates on deposits in local currencies. Learn more at https://goto.saxo/macrofx -- Follow Raoul: https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/ Subscribe To Stenos Signals: https://andreassteno.substack.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- (00:00) Introduction (00:42)Top Stories of The Week (12:40) Feature Interview With Raoul Pal (25:08) The Low Interest Rate Environment (28:18) Powell Channelling His Inner Volcker (34:22) What Could Bring Markets Lower? (40:24) Raoul's Actionable Trade Idea (47:40) Post Interview: Final Thoughts -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.