The exponential growth of COVID-19 is threatening to bring down the world economy. To understand the pandemic, Azeem Azhar chats with professor Yaneer Bar-Yam, President of the New England Complex Systems Institute, who worked on the response to Ebola with pioneering complex-systems mathematics.
In this conversation, they discuss:
- Why we need to crush, rather than flatten, the curve.
- What lessons the Ebola outbreak offers us for dealing with COVID-19.
- What complexity mathematics offers beyond traditional epidemiological modelling.
Further reading:
- “A Better Way: Building Capacity, Adaptation and Resilience” (Exponential View, 2020)
- End Coronavirus: Map, Guidelines, Community (2020)
- “Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance” (Tomas Pueyo, 2020)
- “Transition to Extinction: Pandemics in a Connected World” (Yaneer Bar-Yam, 2016)
@yaneerbaryam
@azeem
@exponentialview
Note: a previous version of this episode included an excerpted conversation with Dr. Adam Kucharski, author of “The Rules of Contagion: How Things Spread – and Why They Stop.” That excerpt has now been removed, and the full conversation with Dr. Kucharski can be found here: https://www.exponentialview.co/p/-modeling-the-pandemic.
03/24/20 • 40 min
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